Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal Poly
Big West
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.9#321
Expected Predictive Rating-13.7#329
Pace66.5#240
Improvement+4.1#28

Offense
Total Offense-8.8#337
First Shot-7.4#326
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#267
Layup/Dunks-5.1#329
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#206
Freethrows-2.4#317
Improvement+0.9#121

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#259
First Shot-3.2#276
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#163
Layups/Dunks-1.5#233
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#158
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#171
Freethrows-2.1#301
Improvement+3.2#26
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 90 - 14
Quad 43 - 63 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 04, 2020 104   San Francisco L 60-88 9%     0 - 1 -25.0 -16.9 -5.5
  Dec 09, 2020 168   Santa Clara L 69-76 18%     0 - 2 -9.0 -2.9 -6.2
  Dec 13, 2020 320   San Jose St. W 73-71 57%     1 - 2 -11.7 -15.5 +3.5
  Dec 16, 2020 211   San Diego L 61-70 27%     1 - 3 -14.3 -9.8 -4.8
  Dec 19, 2020 107   @ Loyola Marymount L 52-76 5%     1 - 4 -17.5 -15.9 -2.8
  Jan 08, 2021 169   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 49-62 11%     1 - 5 -11.2 -15.5 +2.2
  Jan 09, 2021 169   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 50-67 11%     1 - 6 -15.2 -18.2 +1.5
  Jan 15, 2021 124   UC Riverside L 51-86 12%     1 - 7 0 - 1 -34.1 -19.5 -14.9
  Jan 16, 2021 124   UC Riverside L 53-70 12%     1 - 8 0 - 2 -16.1 -12.4 -5.5
  Jan 22, 2021 119   @ UC Irvine L 49-68 6%     1 - 9 0 - 3 -13.8 -14.6 -0.2
  Jan 23, 2021 119   @ UC Irvine L 44-67 6%     1 - 10 0 - 4 -17.8 -20.2 +1.3
  Jan 29, 2021 282   Cal St. Northridge W 76-70 42%     2 - 10 1 - 4 -3.8 -0.9 -2.6
  Jan 30, 2021 282   Cal St. Northridge L 51-64 42%     2 - 11 1 - 5 -22.8 -26.9 +3.5
  Feb 05, 2021 204   @ Hawaii L 68-84 16%     2 - 12 1 - 6 -17.3 -2.7 -15.4
  Feb 06, 2021 204   @ Hawaii L 64-81 16%     2 - 13 1 - 7 -18.3 -5.9 -13.5
  Feb 19, 2021 258   @ Long Beach St. L 60-64 23%     2 - 14 1 - 8 -8.1 -18.5 +10.7
  Feb 20, 2021 258   @ Long Beach St. L 69-74 23%     2 - 15 1 - 9 -9.1 -7.3 -1.6
  Feb 26, 2021 229   UC Davis L 61-69 30%     2 - 16 1 - 10 -14.4 -10.5 -4.2
  Feb 27, 2021 229   UC Davis L 66-68 OT 30%     2 - 17 1 - 11 -8.4 -13.6 +5.4
  Mar 05, 2021 85   @ UC Santa Barbara L 57-71 4%     2 - 18 1 - 12 -5.3 -8.4 +2.0
  Mar 06, 2021 85   @ UC Santa Barbara L 54-70 4%     2 - 19 1 - 13 -7.3 -11.2 +2.6
  Mar 09, 2021 262   Cal St. Fullerton W 87-82 30%     3 - 19 -1.5 +7.4 -8.9
  Mar 11, 2021 119   UC Irvine L 51-58 9%     3 - 20 -3.7 -11.8 +7.5
Projected Record 3 - 20 1 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big West Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13 100.0% 100.0
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%