Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#282
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#234
Pace73.7#77
Improvement-1.0#223

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#211
First Shot-0.8#202
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#219
Layup/Dunks-1.4#226
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#95
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#128
Freethrows-1.5#280
Improvement+0.4#158

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#324
First Shot-6.3#331
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#197
Layups/Dunks-4.5#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#294
Freethrows-1.8#291
Improvement-1.4#252
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 2
Quad 31 - 52 - 7
Quad 46 - 68 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 310   Air Force L 61-66 58%     0 - 1 -15.0 -12.4 -3.0
  Nov 30, 2020 222   Seattle W 76-65 36%     1 - 1 +6.8 -0.3 +6.8
  Dec 12, 2020 108   @ Pepperdine W 89-84 10%     2 - 1 +11.4 +11.0 +0.1
  Dec 15, 2020 82   Stanford L 71-82 11%     2 - 2 -5.6 +3.0 -8.5
  Dec 19, 2020 126   @ California L 56-87 13%     2 - 3 -26.4 -15.8 -9.9
  Dec 28, 2020 158   New Mexico St. W 66-63 27%     3 - 3 +1.6 -14.5 +15.9
  Jan 16, 2021 262   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 86-85 37%     4 - 3 1 - 0 -3.6 -3.0 -0.7
  Jan 17, 2021 262   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 77-85 37%     4 - 4 1 - 1 -12.6 -4.3 -8.0
  Jan 22, 2021 85   UC Santa Barbara L 58-105 12%     4 - 5 1 - 2 -42.1 -15.4 -25.2
  Jan 23, 2021 85   UC Santa Barbara L 66-80 12%     4 - 6 1 - 3 -9.1 -1.8 -8.1
  Jan 29, 2021 321   @ Cal Poly L 70-76 58%     4 - 7 1 - 4 -16.0 -1.9 -14.4
  Jan 30, 2021 321   @ Cal Poly W 64-51 58%     5 - 7 2 - 4 +3.0 -7.9 +11.6
  Feb 05, 2021 229   UC Davis W 80-77 44%     6 - 7 3 - 4 -3.4 +3.6 -7.0
  Feb 06, 2021 229   UC Davis L 63-75 44%     6 - 8 3 - 5 -18.4 -9.2 -9.5
  Feb 19, 2021 204   Hawaii L 74-75 39%     6 - 9 3 - 6 -6.1 -0.4 -5.7
  Feb 20, 2021 204   Hawaii W 88-80 OT 39%     7 - 9 4 - 6 +2.9 +3.8 -1.7
  Feb 26, 2021 169   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 58-84 18%     7 - 10 -24.2 -10.7 -15.2
  Feb 27, 2021 169   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 90-87 18%     8 - 10 +4.8 +24.2 -19.1
  Mar 05, 2021 124   UC Riverside L 68-72 20%     8 - 11 4 - 7 -3.1 -2.3 -0.9
  Mar 06, 2021 124   UC Riverside L 65-66 20%     8 - 12 4 - 8 -0.1 -5.4 +5.3
  Mar 09, 2021 258   Long Beach St. L 63-85 43%     8 - 13 -28.0 -17.8 -8.2
Projected Record 8 - 13 4 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big West Finish

0-12 1-11 2-10 3-9 4-8 5-7 6-6 7-5 8-4 9-3 10-2 11-1 12-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
12-0
11-1
10-2
9-3
8-4
7-5
6-6
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
12-0
11-1
10-2
9-3
8-4
7-5
6-6
5-7
4-8 100.0% 100.0
3-9
2-10
1-11
0-12
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%