Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Santa Barbara
Big West
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#85
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#72
Pace64.5#287
Improvement+0.6#155

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#71
First Shot+6.1#37
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#274
Layup/Dunks+2.1#92
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#54
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#178
Freethrows+1.5#71
Improvement+1.5#93

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#104
First Shot+1.1#124
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#83
Layups/Dunks-1.0#215
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#58
Freethrows-0.6#221
Improvement-0.9#228
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round21.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.7% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 22 - 42 - 4
Quad 36 - 08 - 4
Quad 412 - 020 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 07, 2020 107   Loyola Marymount W 69-58 66%     1 - 0 +13.7 +2.4 +12.2
  Dec 12, 2020 107   @ Loyola Marymount L 76-81 51%     1 - 1 +1.5 +5.3 -3.8
  Dec 19, 2020 108   @ Pepperdine W 75-63 52%     2 - 1 +18.4 +3.2 +15.1
  Dec 27, 2020 119   @ UC Irvine L 56-75 56%     2 - 2 0 - 1 -13.8 -11.0 -2.6
  Dec 28, 2020 119   @ UC Irvine L 69-73 56%     2 - 3 0 - 2 +1.2 +8.2 -7.3
  Jan 01, 2021 262   Cal St. Fullerton W 81-63 91%     3 - 3 1 - 2 +9.6 -0.7 +10.0
  Jan 02, 2021 262   Cal St. Fullerton W 65-61 91%     4 - 3 2 - 2 -4.4 -15.5 +11.1
  Jan 15, 2021 255   UC San Diego W 69-52 91%     5 - 3 3 - 2 +9.2 -8.1 +17.8
  Jan 16, 2021 255   UC San Diego W 84-53 91%     6 - 3 4 - 2 +23.2 +9.7 +15.3
  Jan 22, 2021 282   @ Cal St. Northridge W 105-58 88%     7 - 3 5 - 2 +41.0 +23.2 +16.3
  Jan 23, 2021 282   @ Cal St. Northridge W 80-66 88%     8 - 3 6 - 2 +8.0 +6.1 +2.7
  Jan 29, 2021 229   @ UC Davis W 72-51 81%     9 - 3 7 - 2 +18.4 +3.0 +16.4
  Jan 30, 2021 229   @ UC Davis W 89-86 OT 81%     10 - 3 8 - 2 +0.4 +9.1 -8.9
  Feb 12, 2021 204   @ Hawaii W 59-50 78%     11 - 3 9 - 2 +7.7 -7.3 +16.1
  Feb 13, 2021 204   @ Hawaii W 81-74 OT 78%     12 - 3 10 - 2 +5.7 -1.3 +6.2
  Feb 19, 2021 169   Cal St. Bakersfield W 71-66 80%     13 - 3 +3.0 +11.2 -7.1
  Feb 20, 2021 169   Cal St. Bakersfield W 63-44 80%     14 - 3 +17.0 +4.8 +17.1
  Feb 26, 2021 124   @ UC Riverside W 72-68 58%     15 - 3 11 - 2 +8.7 +14.8 -5.5
  Feb 27, 2021 124   @ UC Riverside L 52-68 58%     15 - 4 11 - 3 -11.3 -13.3 +0.8
  Mar 05, 2021 321   Cal Poly W 71-57 96%     16 - 4 12 - 3 +0.2 -0.6 +1.8
  Mar 06, 2021 321   Cal Poly W 70-54 96%     17 - 4 13 - 3 +2.2 -1.1 +4.7
  Mar 11, 2021 258   Long Beach St. W 95-87 88%     18 - 4 +2.0 +8.9 -7.9
  Mar 12, 2021 229   UC Davis W 71-55 85%     19 - 4 +11.5 +1.5 +10.9
  Mar 13, 2021 119   UC Irvine W 79-63 63%     20 - 4 +19.3 +18.6 +2.1
Projected Record 20 - 4 13 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.5 0.0 2.0 43.2 53.2 1.5
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 2.0 43.2 53.2 1.5