Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#156
Expected Predictive Rating-1.0#182
Pace70.6#140
Improvement+1.1#131

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#151
First Shot+1.7#117
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#244
Layup/Dunks+0.8#128
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#169
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#97
Freethrows-0.9#237
Improvement-1.2#248

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#181
First Shot-0.7#190
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#132
Layups/Dunks-0.4#192
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#122
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#238
Freethrows+0.3#160
Improvement+2.3#59
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 38.7% 38.7% 38.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Evansville (Home) - 73.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 33 - 53 - 13
Quad 46 - 39 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 88   Western Kentucky L 87-93 29%     0 - 1 +0.3 +8.5 -7.5
  Nov 26, 2020 79   St. Mary's L 64-66 25%     0 - 2 +5.6 +3.1 +2.4
  Nov 27, 2020 41   Utah St. L 71-82 16%     0 - 3 +0.2 +1.8 -0.8
  Dec 09, 2020 70   @ Richmond L 68-78 18%     0 - 4 +0.1 -3.2 +3.7
  Dec 27, 2020 91   Missouri St. L 59-79 37%     0 - 5 0 - 1 -16.1 -12.5 -3.7
  Dec 28, 2020 91   Missouri St. W 85-75 37%     1 - 5 1 - 1 +13.9 +8.2 +5.0
  Jan 02, 2021 201   @ Evansville L 61-65 56%     1 - 6 1 - 2 -5.0 -14.9 +9.9
  Jan 03, 2021 201   @ Evansville L 64-70 56%     1 - 7 1 - 3 -7.0 -2.9 -5.0
  Jan 10, 2021 150   Bradley W 78-72 56%     2 - 7 2 - 3 +5.0 +2.8 +2.1
  Jan 11, 2021 150   Bradley L 73-75 56%     2 - 8 2 - 4 -3.0 +0.1 -3.1
  Jan 16, 2021 20   @ Loyola Chicago L 57-72 8%     2 - 9 2 - 5 +1.4 +3.2 -4.0
  Jan 17, 2021 20   @ Loyola Chicago L 46-88 8%     2 - 10 2 - 6 -25.6 -13.5 -14.2
  Jan 30, 2021 188   @ Southern Illinois W 74-62 51%     3 - 10 3 - 6 +12.2 +2.8 +9.5
  Jan 31, 2021 188   @ Southern Illinois L 68-71 51%     3 - 11 3 - 7 -2.8 -3.2 +0.3
  Feb 06, 2021 118   Indiana St. L 57-61 46%     3 - 12 3 - 8 -2.5 -8.0 +5.0
  Feb 07, 2021 118   Indiana St. W 70-67 46%     4 - 12 4 - 8 +4.5 +7.6 -2.8
  Feb 10, 2021 65   @ Drake L 59-80 18%     4 - 13 4 - 9 -10.6 -10.3 -0.8
  Feb 13, 2021 187   Valparaiso L 57-70 66%     4 - 14 4 - 10 -16.6 -11.8 -5.5
  Feb 14, 2021 187   Valparaiso W 74-60 66%     5 - 14 5 - 10 +10.4 +7.1 +4.3
  Feb 17, 2021 65   Drake L 69-77 28%     5 - 15 5 - 11 -1.4 +5.4 -7.9
  Feb 26, 2021 202   @ Illinois St. W 70-56 56%     6 - 15 6 - 11 +13.0 -2.1 +15.1
  Feb 27, 2021 202   @ Illinois St. W 94-87 2OT 56%     7 - 15 7 - 11 +6.0 +5.3 -0.6
  Mar 04, 2021 202   Illinois St. W 65-60 63%     8 - 15 +2.1 -8.7 +10.7
  Mar 08, 2021 201   Evansville W 71-66 73%    
  Mar 09, 2021 201   @ Evansville W 69-67 51%    
Projected Record 9 - 16 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 46.7 38.7 85.4 5th
6th 14.6 14.6 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 14.6 46.7 38.7 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 38.7% 38.7
8-12 46.7% 46.7
7-13 14.6% 14.6
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 38.7%
Lose Out 14.6%