Pre-tourney Rankings
Valparaiso
Missouri Valley
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#187
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#199
Pace67.2#224
Improvement+3.1#50

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#258
First Shot-0.7#200
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#320
Layup/Dunks+0.0#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
Freethrows-0.9#241
Improvement+1.2#108

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#120
First Shot+2.1#100
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#206
Layups/Dunks-2.9#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#15
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#106
Freethrows+0.8#114
Improvement+1.9#81
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 21 - 31 - 7
Quad 33 - 74 - 14
Quad 44 - 48 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 27, 2020 89   @ Vanderbilt L 71-77 18%     0 - 1 +2.2 -6.2 +8.9
  Dec 01, 2020 290   @ Illinois-Chicago L 50-66 68%     0 - 2 -22.5 -20.2 -3.4
  Dec 04, 2020 14   @ Purdue L 61-68 5%     0 - 3 +9.8 -2.5 +12.2
  Dec 09, 2020 313   SIU Edwardsville W 80-58 84%     1 - 3 +9.6 -3.7 +11.5
  Dec 12, 2020 289   @ Central Michigan L 79-84 68%     1 - 4 -11.5 -3.0 -8.3
  Dec 19, 2020 75   @ Toledo L 57-71 14%     1 - 5 -4.3 -11.6 +6.4
  Jan 09, 2021 91   Missouri St. L 68-81 30%     1 - 6 0 - 1 -9.1 -2.0 -7.5
  Jan 10, 2021 91   Missouri St. L 68-78 30%     1 - 7 0 - 2 -6.1 -4.9 -1.1
  Jan 16, 2021 120   @ DePaul L 58-77 26%     1 - 8 -13.9 -10.7 -2.5
  Jan 20, 2021 20   Loyola Chicago L 39-75 10%     1 - 9 0 - 3 -23.4 -22.0 -3.8
  Jan 23, 2021 202   @ Illinois St. W 69-60 47%     2 - 9 1 - 3 +8.0 +0.6 +7.9
  Jan 24, 2021 202   @ Illinois St. W 70-66 47%     3 - 9 2 - 3 +3.0 +0.3 +2.8
  Jan 28, 2021 150   Bradley W 91-85 2OT 47%     4 - 9 3 - 3 +5.0 +0.5 +3.4
  Jan 31, 2021 201   @ Evansville L 52-70 47%     4 - 10 3 - 4 -19.0 -15.5 -6.7
  Feb 01, 2021 201   @ Evansville L 51-58 47%     4 - 11 3 - 5 -8.0 -15.6 +6.2
  Feb 06, 2021 65   Drake L 77-80 21%     4 - 12 3 - 6 +3.6 +6.3 -2.7
  Feb 07, 2021 65   Drake W 74-57 21%     5 - 12 4 - 6 +23.6 -2.3 +25.1
  Feb 10, 2021 150   Bradley L 52-76 47%     5 - 13 4 - 7 -25.0 -20.4 -5.3
  Feb 13, 2021 156   @ Northern Iowa W 70-57 34%     6 - 13 5 - 7 +15.4 +1.9 +14.3
  Feb 14, 2021 156   @ Northern Iowa L 60-74 34%     6 - 14 5 - 8 -11.6 -7.9 -4.6
  Feb 17, 2021 20   @ Loyola Chicago L 52-54 6%     6 - 15 5 - 9 +14.4 +3.4 +10.6
  Feb 21, 2021 188   @ Southern Illinois W 66-65 43%     7 - 15 6 - 9 +1.2 +10.3 -8.9
  Feb 22, 2021 188   @ Southern Illinois L 64-67 43%     7 - 16 6 - 10 -2.8 -4.6 +1.6
  Feb 26, 2021 118   Indiana St. L 43-58 38%     7 - 17 6 - 11 -13.5 -23.3 +8.4
  Feb 27, 2021 118   Indiana St. W 70-58 38%     8 - 17 7 - 11 +13.5 +4.6 +9.7
  Mar 05, 2021 91   Missouri St. L 55-66 24%     8 - 18 -5.2 -15.0 +9.6
Projected Record 8 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 53.3 53.3 6th
7th 46.7 46.7 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%