Pre-tourney Rankings
Toledo
Mid-American
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#75
Expected Predictive Rating+7.0#83
Pace70.7#139
Improvement-0.9#216

Offense
Total Offense+8.1#21
First Shot+6.6#27
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#78
Layup/Dunks+0.8#130
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#244
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#15
Freethrows+0.9#115
Improvement+1.0#120

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#186
First Shot-0.5#180
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#159
Layups/Dunks-3.4#292
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#163
Freethrows+1.6#64
Improvement-1.9#272
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.7% n/a n/a
First Round0.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 22 - 23 - 4
Quad 37 - 310 - 7
Quad 411 - 121 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 150   Bradley L 59-61 75%     0 - 1 -1.1 -10.2 +9.0
  Nov 26, 2020 223   Oakland W 80-53 87%     1 - 1 +22.8 +5.4 +18.4
  Nov 27, 2020 59   @ Xavier L 73-76 37%     1 - 2 +8.3 +2.5 +5.9
  Dec 01, 2020 176   Cleveland St. W 70-61 83%     2 - 2 +6.6 +0.0 +7.0
  Dec 04, 2020 294   @ Eastern Michigan W 91-74 91%     3 - 2 1 - 0 +10.3 +13.4 -3.3
  Dec 09, 2020 4   @ Michigan L 71-91 10%     3 - 3 +1.7 +8.7 -7.2
  Dec 12, 2020 210   UMKC W 64-57 89%     4 - 3 +1.7 +4.6 -1.5
  Dec 16, 2020 90   @ Marshall W 96-87 OT 50%     5 - 3 +16.7 +5.5 +9.4
  Dec 19, 2020 187   Valparaiso W 71-57 86%     6 - 3 +10.4 +3.4 +7.8
  Dec 22, 2020 323   Northern Illinois W 78-55 97%     7 - 3 2 - 0 +9.1 -2.0 +11.2
  Jan 02, 2021 276   @ Western Michigan W 70-59 89%     8 - 3 3 - 0 +5.2 -2.1 +7.7
  Jan 05, 2021 116   @ Kent St. W 84-82 59%     9 - 3 4 - 0 +7.3 +15.7 -8.4
  Jan 08, 2021 83   Ohio W 95-78 59%     10 - 3 5 - 0 +22.4 +15.0 +6.2
  Jan 12, 2021 294   Eastern Michigan W 96-63 95%     11 - 3 6 - 0 +22.5 +23.8 +1.0
  Jan 16, 2021 111   @ Akron L 94-95 OT 56%     11 - 4 6 - 1 +5.3 +17.9 -12.6
  Jan 19, 2021 289   Central Michigan W 89-72 94%     12 - 4 7 - 1 +6.7 +3.5 +2.3
  Jan 23, 2021 116   Kent St. W 76-74 73%     13 - 4 8 - 1 +3.5 +4.5 -1.0
  Jan 26, 2021 167   @ Miami (OH) W 90-81 71%     14 - 4 9 - 1 +10.9 +18.0 -6.9
  Jan 30, 2021 132   @ Bowling Green W 84-66 64%     15 - 4 10 - 1 +22.2 +6.6 +14.5
  Feb 02, 2021 111   Akron W 91-76 70%     16 - 4 11 - 1 +17.5 +17.1 +0.3
  Feb 06, 2021 154   @ Ball St. L 67-81 69%     16 - 5 11 - 2 -11.5 -10.3 +0.0
  Feb 13, 2021 132   Bowling Green L 81-88 76%     16 - 6 11 - 3 -6.6 +0.8 -6.8
  Feb 16, 2021 167   Miami (OH) W 87-75 82%     17 - 6 12 - 3 +10.1 +7.4 +2.3
  Feb 19, 2021 73   @ Buffalo W 80-70 42%     18 - 6 13 - 3 +19.9 +12.3 +7.5
  Feb 27, 2021 276   Western Michigan W 91-44 94%     19 - 6 14 - 3 +37.5 +11.9 +23.9
  Mar 02, 2021 289   @ Central Michigan L 79-81 90%     19 - 7 14 - 4 -8.5 +1.5 -10.0
  Mar 05, 2021 154   Ball St. W 89-70 80%     20 - 7 15 - 4 +17.8 +8.4 +7.9
  Mar 11, 2021 154   Ball St. W 91-89 OT 75%     21 - 7 +2.7 +7.0 -4.6
  Mar 12, 2021 83   Ohio L 80-87 52%     21 - 8 +0.3 +3.9 -3.4
Projected Record 21 - 8 15 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-19 1-18 2-17 3-16 4-15 5-14 6-13 7-12 8-11 9-10 10-9 11-8 12-7 13-6 14-5 15-4 16-3 17-2 18-1 19-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-5
13-6
12-7
11-8
10-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4 100.0% 0.7% 0.7% 12.1 0.0 0.5 0.1 99.3 0.7%
14-5
13-6
12-7
11-8
10-9
9-10
8-11
7-12
6-13
5-14
4-15
3-16
2-17
1-18
0-19
Total 100% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7% 12.1 0.0 0.5 0.1 99.3 0.7%