Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio
Mid-American
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.3#83
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#87
Pace70.8#132
Improvement+4.4#24

Offense
Total Offense+7.1#31
First Shot+7.1#20
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#167
Layup/Dunks+3.9#48
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#177
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#38
Freethrows-1.0#247
Improvement+1.5#96

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#164
First Shot-0.3#172
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#135
Layups/Dunks-0.6#198
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#76
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#205
Freethrows-0.4#204
Improvement+3.0#34
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round23.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 22 - 33 - 5
Quad 34 - 27 - 7
Quad 48 - 015 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 346   Chicago St. W 84-61 99%     1 - 0 -0.7 +3.4 -4.1
  Nov 26, 2020 299   N.C. A&T W 84-72 92%     2 - 0 +3.2 -2.6 +4.3
  Nov 27, 2020 2   @ Illinois L 75-77 8%     2 - 1 +20.7 +9.2 +11.6
  Dec 06, 2020 176   Cleveland St. W 101-46 82%     3 - 1 +52.6 +18.5 +28.9
  Dec 13, 2020 90   @ Marshall L 67-81 48%     3 - 2 -6.3 -4.3 -1.9
  Dec 22, 2020 111   @ Akron L 70-90 54%     3 - 3 0 - 1 -13.7 +3.2 -18.3
  Dec 30, 2020 132   Bowling Green L 75-83 74%     3 - 4 0 - 2 -7.6 +2.8 -10.6
  Jan 02, 2021 154   @ Ball St. W 78-68 68%     4 - 4 1 - 2 +12.5 +12.6 +0.8
  Jan 05, 2021 323   Northern Illinois W 76-73 96%     5 - 4 2 - 2 -10.9 +0.6 -11.2
  Jan 08, 2021 75   @ Toledo L 78-95 41%     5 - 5 2 - 3 -7.3 +0.6 -6.8
  Jan 12, 2021 167   Miami (OH) W 78-61 81%     6 - 5 3 - 3 +15.1 +5.2 +10.7
  Jan 16, 2021 116   Kent St. L 79-89 71%     6 - 6 3 - 4 -8.5 +5.5 -13.9
  Jan 23, 2021 154   Ball St. W 85-77 79%     7 - 6 4 - 4 +6.8 +4.8 +1.4
  Jan 26, 2021 276   Western Michigan W 81-58 93%     8 - 6 5 - 4 +13.5 +5.4 +8.1
  Jan 29, 2021 73   @ Buffalo W 76-75 40%     9 - 6 6 - 4 +10.9 +5.1 +5.7
  Feb 02, 2021 289   @ Central Michigan W 83-69 89%     10 - 6 7 - 4 +7.5 -2.4 +8.7
  Feb 23, 2021 111   Akron W 90-73 68%     11 - 6 8 - 4 +19.5 +12.5 +6.2
  Feb 25, 2021 294   Eastern Michigan W 86-67 94%     12 - 6 9 - 4 +8.5 +8.8 +0.0
  Feb 27, 2021 73   Buffalo L 66-86 55%     12 - 7 9 - 5 -13.9 -8.8 -3.4
  Mar 11, 2021 116   Kent St. W 85-63 64%     13 - 7 +25.4 +13.5 +11.9
  Mar 12, 2021 75   Toledo W 87-80 48%     14 - 7 +14.8 +10.1 +4.3
  Mar 13, 2021 73   Buffalo W 84-69 47%     15 - 7 +23.0 +14.3 +8.4
Projected Record 15 - 7 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.0%
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.4 0.0 0.9 56.7 42.0 0.4
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.4 0.0 0.9 56.7 42.0 0.4