Pre-tourney Rankings
Bowling Green
Mid-American
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#132
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#134
Pace73.5#82
Improvement-1.6#246

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#107
First Shot+0.5#155
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#53
Layup/Dunks-0.7#191
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#179
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#123
Freethrows+0.3#154
Improvement-2.0#284

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#182
First Shot-0.8#194
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#122
Layups/Dunks-0.1#179
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#253
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#208
Freethrows+0.8#116
Improvement+0.4#161
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b2 - 02 - 1
Quad 23 - 35 - 4
Quad 32 - 47 - 8
Quad 46 - 313 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 4   @ Michigan L 82-96 5%     0 - 1 +7.7 +14.4 -6.0
  Nov 28, 2020 343   South Carolina St. W 101-78 97%     1 - 1 +3.2 +2.8 -3.5
  Nov 30, 2020 191   @ Appalachian St. W 78-76 OT 60%     2 - 1 +1.8 -2.6 +4.1
  Dec 06, 2020 73   Buffalo W 86-78 36%     3 - 1 1 - 0 +14.1 +9.8 +3.6
  Dec 13, 2020 76   Wright St. L 67-85 36%     3 - 2 -12.1 -8.3 -2.5
  Dec 18, 2020 296   @ Robert Morris W 85-65 80%     4 - 2 +13.2 +9.0 +4.7
  Dec 30, 2020 83   @ Ohio W 83-75 26%     5 - 2 2 - 0 +17.2 +13.3 +4.1
  Jan 02, 2021 323   @ Northern Illinois W 68-42 87%     6 - 2 3 - 0 +15.9 -5.3 +23.2
  Jan 05, 2021 289   Central Michigan W 90-69 88%     7 - 2 4 - 0 +10.7 +4.1 +5.3
  Jan 09, 2021 289   @ Central Michigan W 93-65 80%     8 - 2 5 - 0 +21.5 +7.2 +12.1
  Jan 12, 2021 154   Ball St. L 64-88 64%     8 - 3 5 - 1 -25.2 -13.3 -10.6
  Jan 15, 2021 73   @ Buffalo W 76-69 23%     9 - 3 6 - 1 +16.9 +3.8 +12.6
  Jan 19, 2021 111   Akron L 57-69 49%     9 - 4 6 - 2 -9.5 -16.7 +7.2
  Jan 21, 2021 167   @ Miami (OH) L 77-96 52%     9 - 5 6 - 3 -17.1 +4.7 -22.3
  Jan 27, 2021 116   @ Kent St. L 91-96 38%     9 - 6 6 - 4 +0.3 +11.0 -10.2
  Jan 30, 2021 75   Toledo L 66-84 36%     9 - 7 6 - 5 -12.1 -12.3 +1.3
  Feb 03, 2021 276   Western Michigan L 70-76 86%     9 - 8 6 - 6 -15.5 -5.3 -10.3
  Feb 09, 2021 116   Kent St. L 67-71 53%     9 - 9 6 - 7 -2.5 -2.5 -0.2
  Feb 13, 2021 75   @ Toledo W 88-81 24%     10 - 9 7 - 7 +16.7 +9.1 +7.1
  Feb 16, 2021 154   @ Ball St. W 75-62 49%     11 - 9 8 - 7 +15.5 +1.6 +13.6
  Feb 23, 2021 294   @ Eastern Michigan W 82-69 80%     12 - 9 9 - 7 +6.3 +3.9 +2.2
  Feb 26, 2021 111   @ Akron W 83-71 35%     13 - 9 10 - 7 +18.3 +11.5 +6.8
  Mar 02, 2021 167   Miami (OH) L 79-84 OT 66%     13 - 10 10 - 8 -6.9 -7.6 +1.4
  Mar 11, 2021 111   Akron L 67-74 42%     13 - 11 -2.6 +0.1 -3.3
Projected Record 13 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%