Pre-tourney Rankings
Missouri St.
Missouri Valley
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#91
Expected Predictive Rating+5.9#96
Pace70.2#148
Improvement-0.7#206

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#90
First Shot+5.6#42
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#298
Layup/Dunks+2.2#90
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#127
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#98
Freethrows+1.0#111
Improvement-2.4#296

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#111
First Shot+3.3#78
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#271
Layups/Dunks+3.6#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#79
Freethrows+1.0#105
Improvement+1.8#88
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 37 - 27 - 7
Quad 48 - 015 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 19, 2020 314   Northwestern St. W 94-67 95%     1 - 0 +14.5 +7.2 +5.3
  Dec 21, 2020 226   Arkansas Little Rock W 85-77 87%     2 - 0 +1.8 +8.3 -6.6
  Dec 27, 2020 156   @ Northern Iowa W 79-59 63%     3 - 0 1 - 0 +22.4 +7.2 +15.3
  Dec 28, 2020 156   @ Northern Iowa L 75-85 63%     3 - 1 1 - 1 -7.6 -1.6 -5.4
  Jan 02, 2021 118   Indiana St. W 84-74 66%     4 - 1 2 - 1 +11.5 +7.2 +3.5
  Jan 03, 2021 118   Indiana St. W 70-66 66%     5 - 1 3 - 1 +5.5 -0.3 +5.8
  Jan 09, 2021 187   @ Valparaiso W 81-68 70%     6 - 1 4 - 1 +13.2 +12.9 +0.6
  Jan 10, 2021 187   @ Valparaiso W 78-68 70%     7 - 1 5 - 1 +10.2 +6.5 +3.5
  Jan 26, 2021 65   Drake L 61-68 47%     7 - 2 5 - 2 -0.4 -14.2 +14.1
  Jan 27, 2021 65   Drake L 73-78 47%     7 - 3 5 - 3 +1.6 +0.0 +1.6
  Jan 31, 2021 20   Loyola Chicago L 46-72 26%     7 - 4 5 - 4 -13.4 -15.6 +1.0
  Feb 01, 2021 20   Loyola Chicago L 50-70 26%     7 - 5 5 - 5 -7.4 -4.3 -6.8
  Feb 06, 2021 202   @ Illinois St. W 74-67 74%     8 - 5 6 - 5 +6.0 +3.5 +2.6
  Feb 07, 2021 202   @ Illinois St. W 72-62 74%     9 - 5 7 - 5 +9.0 +7.2 +2.8
  Feb 10, 2021 188   Southern Illinois W 65-53 81%     10 - 5 8 - 5 +8.4 -4.1 +13.3
  Feb 13, 2021 150   Bradley W 80-58 74%     11 - 5 9 - 5 +21.0 +13.5 +9.6
  Feb 14, 2021 150   Bradley W 72-57 74%     12 - 5 10 - 5 +14.0 +6.3 +9.4
  Feb 17, 2021 188   @ Southern Illinois W 68-53 71%     13 - 5 11 - 5 +15.2 -0.2 +16.2
  Feb 26, 2021 201   @ Evansville W 90-81 74%     14 - 5 12 - 5 +8.0 +14.2 -6.2
  Feb 27, 2021 201   @ Evansville L 63-72 74%     14 - 6 12 - 6 -10.0 -5.7 -5.4
  Mar 05, 2021 187   Valparaiso W 66-55 76%     15 - 6 +9.3 -4.2 +13.7
  Mar 06, 2021 65   Drake L 69-71 39%     15 - 7 +6.5 +3.7 +2.6
Projected Record 15 - 7 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%