Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#202
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#236
Pace70.9#128
Improvement+2.3#69

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#244
First Shot-0.6#194
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#304
Layup/Dunks-2.0#256
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#69
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#91
Freethrows-2.7#326
Improvement-0.6#210

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#183
First Shot+0.9#133
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#265
Layups/Dunks-2.2#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#142
Freethrows+0.8#117
Improvement+3.0#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 00 - 5
Quad 33 - 83 - 13
Quad 43 - 56 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 8   @ Ohio St. L 67-94 3%     0 - 1 -8.3 -6.5 +0.2
  Nov 28, 2020 225   Umass Lowell W 82-72 55%     1 - 1 +5.7 +1.6 +3.5
  Dec 05, 2020 174   @ Murray St. L 65-76 33%     1 - 2 -9.4 -9.7 +0.6
  Dec 12, 2020 154   @ Ball St. L 66-82 30%     1 - 3 -13.5 -11.7 -0.3
  Dec 15, 2020 346   Chicago St. W 91-62 97%     2 - 3 +3.4 +7.0 -4.4
  Dec 27, 2020 20   @ Loyola Chicago L 60-90 5%     2 - 4 0 - 1 -13.6 -1.3 -12.5
  Dec 28, 2020 20   @ Loyola Chicago L 55-86 5%     2 - 5 0 - 2 -14.6 -2.6 -14.3
  Jan 09, 2021 201   @ Evansville L 48-57 43%     2 - 6 0 - 3 -10.0 -19.8 +8.1
  Jan 10, 2021 201   @ Evansville W 73-68 43%     3 - 6 1 - 3 +4.0 +6.0 -1.3
  Jan 16, 2021 118   Indiana St. L 65-73 34%     3 - 7 1 - 4 -6.5 -7.8 +1.6
  Jan 17, 2021 118   Indiana St. L 68-74 34%     3 - 8 1 - 5 -4.5 -1.7 -2.9
  Jan 20, 2021 150   Bradley W 71-56 43%     4 - 8 2 - 5 +14.0 -2.1 +16.3
  Jan 23, 2021 187   Valparaiso L 60-69 53%     4 - 9 2 - 6 -12.6 -8.8 -4.3
  Jan 24, 2021 187   Valparaiso L 66-70 53%     4 - 10 2 - 7 -7.6 -3.7 -4.0
  Jan 31, 2021 65   @ Drake L 76-78 OT 11%     4 - 11 2 - 8 +8.4 -2.4 +11.0
  Feb 01, 2021 65   @ Drake L 60-95 11%     4 - 12 2 - 9 -24.6 -10.0 -15.1
  Feb 06, 2021 91   Missouri St. L 67-74 26%     4 - 13 2 - 10 -3.1 -3.3 +0.0
  Feb 07, 2021 91   Missouri St. L 62-72 26%     4 - 14 2 - 11 -6.1 -3.4 -3.8
  Feb 13, 2021 188   @ Southern Illinois W 80-55 38%     5 - 14 3 - 11 +25.2 +8.6 +16.8
  Feb 14, 2021 188   @ Southern Illinois L 49-59 38%     5 - 15 3 - 12 -9.8 -18.5 +7.7
  Feb 18, 2021 150   @ Bradley W 88-71 29%     6 - 15 4 - 12 +19.8 +22.6 -1.5
  Feb 26, 2021 156   Northern Iowa L 56-70 44%     6 - 16 4 - 13 -15.3 -18.0 +2.6
  Feb 27, 2021 156   Northern Iowa L 87-94 2OT 44%     6 - 17 4 - 14 -8.3 -2.3 -4.8
  Mar 04, 2021 156   Northern Iowa L 60-65 37%     6 - 18 -4.5 -13.6 +9.2
Projected Record 6 - 18 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%