Pre-tourney Rankings
Murray St.
Ohio Valley
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#174
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#246
Pace65.2#272
Improvement+1.2#126

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#154
First Shot+1.5#121
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#237
Layup/Dunks+2.3#85
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#82
Freethrows-2.5#319
Improvement+1.7#79

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#202
First Shot-1.7#227
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#103
Layups/Dunks-0.5#194
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#160
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#201
Freethrows-1.1#258
Improvement-0.5#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 410 - 511 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 02, 2020 292   @ Middle Tennessee L 61-78 73%     0 - 1 -23.7 -14.7 -8.4
  Dec 05, 2020 202   Illinois St. W 76-65 67%     1 - 1 +6.2 -0.2 +6.0
  Dec 08, 2020 208   Austin Peay W 87-57 68%     2 - 1 1 - 0 +24.8 +15.1 +11.9
  Dec 11, 2020 188   @ Southern Illinois L 66-70 48%     2 - 2 -3.8 -7.3 +3.5
  Dec 21, 2020 208   @ Austin Peay L 70-74 54%     2 - 3 1 - 1 -5.4 -3.7 -1.9
  Dec 30, 2020 96   @ Belmont L 55-68 23%     2 - 4 1 - 2 -5.7 -13.0 +6.4
  Jan 02, 2021 130   Morehead St. L 56-61 47%     2 - 5 1 - 3 -4.5 -13.2 +8.6
  Jan 07, 2021 302   @ Eastern Illinois L 68-74 75%     2 - 6 1 - 4 -13.2 -10.5 -2.6
  Jan 16, 2021 337   @ Tennessee Martin W 79-57 87%     3 - 6 2 - 4 +9.7 +1.0 +9.3
  Jan 21, 2021 171   Jacksonville St. L 82-85 57%     3 - 7 2 - 5 -5.0 +7.4 -12.5
  Jan 23, 2021 307   Tennessee Tech W 72-63 85%     4 - 7 3 - 5 -2.3 +2.5 -3.6
  Jan 28, 2021 311   Tennessee St. W 73-53 86%     5 - 7 4 - 5 +8.0 +1.4 +7.8
  Jan 30, 2021 96   Belmont L 71-72 36%     5 - 8 4 - 6 +2.5 -0.5 +3.0
  Feb 01, 2021 264   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 77-60 68%     6 - 8 5 - 6 +11.9 +14.3 +0.1
  Feb 04, 2021 130   @ Morehead St. L 56-66 33%     6 - 9 5 - 7 -5.7 -4.8 -2.2
  Feb 06, 2021 173   @ Eastern Kentucky W 76-64 42%     7 - 9 6 - 7 +13.7 +2.0 +11.3
  Feb 12, 2021 264   Southeast Missouri St. W 80-60 79%     8 - 9 7 - 7 +11.1 +4.7 +6.5
  Feb 13, 2021 337   Tennessee Martin W 84-55 92%     9 - 9 8 - 7 +12.9 +4.9 +9.0
  Feb 15, 2021 313   @ SIU Edwardsville W 86-57 79%     10 - 9 9 - 7 +20.3 +18.4 +4.6
  Feb 18, 2021 302   Eastern Illinois L 59-68 84%     10 - 10 9 - 8 -20.0 -16.6 -3.8
  Feb 20, 2021 313   SIU Edwardsville W 89-62 87%     11 - 10 10 - 8 +14.6 +14.4 +1.0
  Feb 25, 2021 171   @ Jacksonville St. L 74-87 42%     11 - 11 10 - 9 -11.2 +8.2 -20.8
  Feb 27, 2021 307   @ Tennessee Tech L 61-71 75%     11 - 12 10 - 10 -17.5 -13.2 -4.8
  Mar 04, 2021 171   Jacksonville St. L 65-68 OT 49%     11 - 13 -3.1 -8.2 +5.0
Projected Record 11 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%