Pre-tourney Rankings
Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.1#311
Expected Predictive Rating-16.0#334
Pace74.6#64
Improvement-0.1#182

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#324
First Shot-5.9#310
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#299
Layup/Dunks-0.8#200
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#303
Freethrows-0.2#193
Improvement+3.9#15

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#233
First Shot+0.0#161
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#324
Layups/Dunks+2.2#97
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#204
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#63
Freethrows-4.5#345
Improvement-4.0#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Belmont (Home) - 12.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 30 - 90 - 11
Quad 43 - 93 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 02, 2020 96   Belmont L 68-82 12%    
  Dec 08, 2020 96   @ Belmont L 64-79 6%     0 - 1 0 - 1 -7.7 -13.8 +7.5
  Dec 12, 2020 266   @ IUPUI L 66-69 32%     0 - 2 -8.1 -15.7 +7.8
  Dec 18, 2020 96   Belmont L 63-88 11%     0 - 3 0 - 2 -21.5 -15.3 -4.3
  Dec 22, 2020 164   Chattanooga L 63-66 21%     0 - 4 -4.7 -9.9 +5.2
  Dec 30, 2020 208   Austin Peay L 59-68 32%     0 - 5 0 - 3 -14.2 -17.2 +2.6
  Jan 02, 2021 264   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 79-83 2OT 31%     0 - 6 0 - 4 -9.1 -8.4 +0.0
  Jan 07, 2021 337   Tennessee Martin W 74-62 72%     1 - 6 1 - 4 -4.1 -8.7 +4.5
  Jan 14, 2021 171   @ Jacksonville St. L 64-65 14%     1 - 7 1 - 5 +0.8 -7.5 +8.3
  Jan 16, 2021 307   @ Tennessee Tech L 71-74 40%     1 - 8 1 - 6 -10.5 -10.2 -0.1
  Jan 19, 2021 264   Southeast Missouri St. L 59-63 45%     1 - 9 1 - 7 -12.9 -16.7 +3.8
  Jan 21, 2021 313   SIU Edwardsville L 65-67 59%     1 - 10 1 - 8 -14.4 -17.0 +2.7
  Jan 23, 2021 302   Eastern Illinois W 65-54 54%     2 - 10 2 - 8 +0.0 -14.1 +13.9
  Jan 28, 2021 174   @ Murray St. L 53-73 14%     2 - 11 2 - 9 -18.4 -16.6 -3.0
  Jan 30, 2021 208   @ Austin Peay L 56-71 21%     2 - 12 2 - 10 -16.4 -20.9 +4.6
  Feb 04, 2021 313   @ SIU Edwardsville L 60-68 44%     2 - 13 2 - 11 -16.7 -17.8 +1.5
  Feb 06, 2021 302   @ Eastern Illinois L 72-86 39%     2 - 14 2 - 12 -21.2 -9.6 -10.5
  Feb 11, 2021 130   Morehead St. L 66-79 16%     2 - 15 2 - 13 -12.5 -5.6 -6.6
  Feb 13, 2021 173   Eastern Kentucky L 73-93 22%     2 - 16 2 - 14 -22.1 -8.8 -11.0
  Feb 18, 2021 307   Tennessee Tech W 91-86 55%     3 - 16 3 - 14 -6.3 +6.6 -13.2
  Feb 20, 2021 171   Jacksonville St. L 76-77 22%     3 - 17 3 - 15 -3.0 -0.5 -2.5
  Feb 25, 2021 130   @ Morehead St. L 60-74 10%     3 - 18 3 - 16 -9.7 -4.9 -5.5
  Feb 27, 2021 173   @ Eastern Kentucky L 84-89 14%     3 - 19 3 - 17 -3.3 +3.4 -6.3
Projected Record 3 - 20 3 - 18




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-21 1-20 2-19 3-18 4-17 5-16 6-15 7-14 8-13 9-12 10-11 11-10 12-9 13-8 14-7 15-6 16-5 17-4 18-3 19-2 20-1 21-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 87.7 12.3 100.0 12th
Total 87.7 12.3 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
21-0
20-1
19-2
18-3
17-4
16-5
15-6
14-7
13-8
12-9
11-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
21-0
20-1
19-2
18-3
17-4
16-5
15-6
14-7
13-8
12-9
11-10
10-11
9-12
8-13
7-14
6-15
5-16
4-17 12.3% 12.3
3-18 87.7% 87.7
2-19
1-20
0-21
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 12.3%
Lose Out 87.7%