Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio Valley
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
96 Belmont 0.0%   25 - 4 18 - 2 26 - 4 19 - 2 +5.4      +5.1 59 +0.3 160 74.7 63 +6.6 89 +8.5 1
130 Morehead St. 100.0%   14   21 - 7 17 - 3 21 - 7 17 - 3 +2.4      -1.4 214 +3.8 73 64.2 297 +6.2 93 +6.3 2
171 Jacksonville St. 0.0%   16 - 9 13 - 6 16 - 9 13 - 6 -0.1      +1.6 124 -1.7 218 65.0 278 +1.2 148 +0.9 4
173 Eastern Kentucky 0.0%   20 - 7 15 - 5 20 - 7 15 - 5 -0.2      -0.6 190 +0.3 158 83.8 2 +2.5 133 +2.5 3
174 Murray St. 0.0%   11 - 13 10 - 10 11 - 13 10 - 10 -0.3      +0.7 154 -1.0 202 65.2 272 -5.9 246 -5.3 5
208 Austin Peay 0.0%   12 - 13 10 - 10 12 - 13 10 - 10 -3.3      +1.3 133 -4.7 292 66.8 232 -5.7 242 -5.8 6
264 Southeast Missouri St. 0.0%   11 - 16 9 - 11 11 - 16 9 - 11 -7.0      -4.8 282 -2.2 231 69.4 172 -6.8 264 -7.0 7
302 Eastern Illinois 0.0%   9 - 18 6 - 14 9 - 18 6 - 14 -9.1      -4.6 277 -4.5 289 70.7 138 -9.2 300 -10.7 10
307 Tennessee Tech 0.0%   5 - 22 5 - 15 5 - 22 5 - 15 -9.4      -4.0 271 -5.3 303 70.8 133 -11.6 321 -10.9 11
311 Tennessee St. 0.0%   3 - 19 3 - 17 3 - 20 3 - 18 -10.1      -7.9 324 -2.2 233 74.6 64 -16.0 334 -15.6 12
313 SIU Edwardsville 0.0%   8 - 17 7 - 12 8 - 17 7 - 12 -10.6      -7.0 311 -3.6 271 69.3 175 -8.6 290 -7.9 8
337 Tennessee Martin 0.0%   7 - 16 6 - 14 7 - 16 6 - 14 -14.2      -6.0 301 -8.2 341 67.5 215 -8.9 297 -8.9 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Belmont 1.0 100.0
Morehead St. 2.0 100.0
Jacksonville St. 4.0 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 3.0 100.0
Murray St. 5.0 100.0
Austin Peay 5.0 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 7.0 100.0
Eastern Illinois 9.0 100.0
Tennessee Tech 11.0 100.0
Tennessee St. 12.0 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 8.0 100.0
Tennessee Martin 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Belmont 19 - 1 12.3 87.7
Morehead St. 17 - 3 100.0
Jacksonville St. 13 - 7 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 15 - 5 100.0
Murray St. 10 - 10 100.0
Austin Peay 10 - 10 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 9 - 11 100.0
Eastern Illinois 6 - 14 100.0
Tennessee Tech 5 - 15 100.0
Tennessee St. 3 - 17 87.7 12.3
SIU Edwardsville 7 - 13 100.0
Tennessee Martin 6 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Belmont 100.0% 100.0
Morehead St.
Jacksonville St.
Eastern Kentucky
Murray St.
Austin Peay
Southeast Missouri St.
Eastern Illinois
Tennessee Tech
Tennessee St.
SIU Edwardsville
Tennessee Martin


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Belmont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Morehead St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.2 21.4 76.1 2.3
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Murray St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Belmont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 10.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Murray St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 10.3% 0.1 89.7 10.3
Sweet Sixteen 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0