Pre-tourney Rankings
Belmont
Ohio Valley
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.4#96
Expected Predictive Rating+6.6#89
Pace74.7#63
Improvement-0.8#213

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#59
First Shot+6.8#26
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#284
Layup/Dunks+7.1#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#311
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#58
Freethrows-1.3#268
Improvement-1.3#253

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#160
First Shot-0.6#188
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#93
Layups/Dunks-0.2#182
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#274
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#217
Freethrows+1.5#75
Improvement+0.5#147
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.7 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Away) - 87.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 38 - 28 - 3
Quad 418 - 126 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 26, 2020 328   Howard W 95-78 94%     1 - 0 +4.2 +3.7 -1.2
  Nov 27, 2020 128   George Mason W 77-67 61%     2 - 0 +12.6 +7.4 +5.2
  Dec 02, 2020 311   @ Tennessee St. W 82-68 88%    
  Dec 05, 2020 269   Samford L 83-96 91%     2 - 1 -22.2 -4.0 -16.4
  Dec 08, 2020 311   Tennessee St. W 79-64 94%     3 - 1 1 - 0 +3.0 -4.6 +6.2
  Dec 12, 2020 233   @ Lipscomb W 81-71 78%     4 - 1 +7.1 +4.7 +2.4
  Dec 16, 2020 326   Kennesaw St. W 64-53 95%     5 - 1 -3.1 -13.2 +10.0
  Dec 18, 2020 311   @ Tennessee St. W 88-63 89%     6 - 1 2 - 0 +16.8 +7.2 +7.7
  Dec 21, 2020 201   @ Evansville W 72-63 73%     7 - 1 +8.0 +1.6 +7.2
  Dec 30, 2020 174   Murray St. W 68-55 77%     8 - 1 3 - 0 +10.8 -2.3 +13.9
  Jan 02, 2021 337   @ Tennessee Martin W 90-69 94%     9 - 1 4 - 0 +8.7 +5.5 +2.2
  Jan 07, 2021 264   Southeast Missouri St. W 77-66 90%     10 - 1 5 - 0 +2.1 -2.2 +3.8
  Jan 09, 2021 337   Tennessee Martin W 89-69 97%     11 - 1 6 - 0 +3.9 +3.4 -0.3
  Jan 14, 2021 307   @ Tennessee Tech W 88-67 88%     12 - 1 7 - 0 +13.5 +5.1 +7.1
  Jan 16, 2021 171   @ Jacksonville St. W 98-91 64%     13 - 1 8 - 0 +8.8 +19.6 -11.2
  Jan 21, 2021 302   Eastern Illinois W 79-66 93%     14 - 1 9 - 0 +2.0 +2.7 -0.4
  Jan 23, 2021 313   SIU Edwardsville W 114-62 94%     15 - 1 10 - 0 +39.6 +25.3 +9.1
  Jan 28, 2021 208   @ Austin Peay W 81-76 74%     16 - 1 11 - 0 +3.6 +10.8 -6.9
  Jan 30, 2021 174   @ Murray St. W 72-71 64%     17 - 1 12 - 0 +2.6 +1.2 +1.5
  Feb 04, 2021 302   @ Eastern Illinois W 89-61 88%     18 - 1 13 - 0 +20.8 +8.1 +11.3
  Feb 06, 2021 313   @ SIU Edwardsville W 94-62 90%     19 - 1 14 - 0 +23.3 +22.8 +2.0
  Feb 11, 2021 173   Eastern Kentucky W 92-74 76%     20 - 1 15 - 0 +15.9 +8.2 +5.6
  Feb 13, 2021 130   Morehead St. W 73-58 68%     21 - 1 16 - 0 +15.5 +5.8 +10.2
  Feb 18, 2021 171   Jacksonville St. W 63-59 76%     22 - 1 17 - 0 +2.0 -6.8 +9.1
  Feb 20, 2021 307   Tennessee Tech W 90-66 93%     23 - 1 18 - 0 +12.7 +4.8 +6.3
  Feb 25, 2021 173   @ Eastern Kentucky L 67-81 64%     23 - 2 18 - 1 -12.3 -10.0 -1.1
  Feb 27, 2021 130   @ Morehead St. L 82-89 OT 54%     23 - 3 18 - 2 -2.7 -1.9 +0.5
  Mar 03, 2021 313   SIU Edwardsville W 78-61 92%     24 - 3 +6.4 +4.7 +2.4
  Mar 05, 2021 171   Jacksonville St. W 72-69 70%     25 - 3 +2.9 -3.5 +6.4
  Mar 06, 2021 130   Morehead St. L 71-86 62%     25 - 4 -12.6 +6.0 -19.5
Projected Record 26 - 4 19 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-21 1-20 2-19 3-18 4-17 5-16 6-15 7-14 8-13 9-12 10-11 11-10 12-9 13-8 14-7 15-6 16-5 17-4 18-3 19-2 20-1 21-0 Total
1st 12.3 87.7 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 12.3 87.7 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
21-0
20-1
19-2 100.0% 87.7    87.7
18-3 100.0% 12.3    12.3
17-4
16-5
15-6
14-7
13-8
12-9
11-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
21-0
20-1
19-2 87.7% 0.0% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 87.7 0.0%
18-3 12.3% 12.3
17-4
16-5
15-6
14-7
13-8
12-9
11-10
10-11
9-12
8-13
7-14
6-15
5-16
4-17
3-18
2-19
1-20
0-21
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 87.7% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0
Lose Out 12.3%