Pre-tourney Rankings
Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#130
Expected Predictive Rating+6.2#93
Pace64.2#297
Improvement+6.7#6

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#214
First Shot-1.0#211
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#205
Layup/Dunks-0.3#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#192
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#224
Freethrows+1.0#107
Improvement+4.4#11

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#73
First Shot+2.7#89
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#82
Layups/Dunks+2.7#81
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#233
Freethrows+1.5#74
Improvement+2.2#64
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round10.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 36 - 17 - 6
Quad 414 - 121 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 46   @ Kentucky L 45-81 17%     0 - 1 -23.4 -19.5 -4.9
  Nov 27, 2020 70   Richmond L 64-82 29%     0 - 2 -9.8 -9.4 +0.6
  Nov 29, 2020 232   Arkansas St. W 69-61 80%     1 - 2 +1.5 -2.7 +4.8
  Dec 02, 2020 8   @ Ohio St. L 44-77 7%     1 - 3 -14.3 -18.8 +0.2
  Dec 07, 2020 173   @ Eastern Kentucky L 68-71 53%     1 - 4 0 - 1 -1.3 -5.2 +3.9
  Dec 14, 2020 173   Eastern Kentucky W 75-62 67%     2 - 4 1 - 1 +10.9 -3.1 +13.2
  Dec 18, 2020 313   SIU Edwardsville L 65-69 91%     2 - 5 1 - 2 -16.4 -12.7 -3.7
  Dec 21, 2020 45   @ Clemson L 51-66 17%     2 - 6 -2.4 -5.9 +1.3
  Jan 02, 2021 174   @ Murray St. W 61-56 53%     3 - 6 2 - 2 +6.6 -11.0 +17.7
  Jan 07, 2021 307   Tennessee Tech W 57-54 89%     4 - 6 3 - 2 -8.3 -16.2 +8.2
  Jan 09, 2021 171   Jacksonville St. W 56-55 66%     5 - 6 4 - 2 -1.0 -12.2 +11.3
  Jan 14, 2021 302   @ Eastern Illinois W 87-61 82%     6 - 6 5 - 2 +18.8 +12.5 +6.8
  Jan 16, 2021 264   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 64-50 76%     7 - 6 6 - 2 +8.9 -3.1 +13.5
  Jan 21, 2021 264   Southeast Missouri St. W 76-65 85%     8 - 6 7 - 2 +2.1 -0.7 +2.7
  Jan 23, 2021 337   Tennessee Martin W 76-44 95%     9 - 6 8 - 2 +15.9 -7.0 +22.5
  Jan 28, 2021 171   @ Jacksonville St. W 85-66 52%     10 - 6 9 - 2 +20.8 +13.9 +7.4
  Jan 30, 2021 307   @ Tennessee Tech W 74-55 82%     11 - 6 10 - 2 +11.5 -1.9 +13.7
  Feb 04, 2021 174   Murray St. W 66-56 67%     12 - 6 11 - 2 +7.8 -0.2 +9.3
  Feb 06, 2021 208   Austin Peay W 75-74 OT 77%     13 - 6 12 - 2 -4.2 +2.8 -6.9
  Feb 11, 2021 311   @ Tennessee St. W 79-66 84%     14 - 6 13 - 2 +4.8 +3.0 +1.5
  Feb 13, 2021 96   @ Belmont L 58-73 32%     14 - 7 13 - 3 -7.7 -11.4 +3.1
  Feb 20, 2021 337   @ Tennessee Martin W 79-69 91%     15 - 7 14 - 3 -2.3 +5.3 -6.8
  Feb 22, 2021 313   @ SIU Edwardsville W 56-48 85%     16 - 7 15 - 3 -0.7 -12.3 +12.6
  Feb 25, 2021 311   Tennessee St. W 74-60 90%     17 - 7 16 - 3 +2.0 +1.9 +0.9
  Feb 27, 2021 96   Belmont W 89-82 OT 46%     18 - 7 17 - 3 +10.5 -1.7 +10.8
  Mar 03, 2021 264   Southeast Missouri St. W 61-54 81%     19 - 7 +0.0 -6.8 +7.6
  Mar 05, 2021 173   Eastern Kentucky W 67-64 60%     20 - 7 +2.8 -5.6 +8.4
  Mar 06, 2021 96   Belmont W 86-71 38%     21 - 7 +20.4 +18.3 +2.9
Projected Record 21 - 7 17 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0%
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.8 0.2 21.4 76.1 2.3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.8 0.2 21.4 76.1 2.3