Pre-tourney Rankings
Evansville
Missouri Valley
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#201
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#211
Pace57.9#346
Improvement+4.5#23

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#118
First Shot+5.9#41
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#341
Layup/Dunks-4.2#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#132
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.5#1
Freethrows-1.1#255
Improvement+5.1#4

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#298
First Shot-4.8#308
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#182
Layups/Dunks-5.1#324
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#285
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#69
Freethrows-0.8#234
Improvement-0.7#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 14.6% 14.6% 14.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Iowa (Away) - 27.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 32 - 82 - 14
Quad 47 - 410 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 61   @ Louisville L 44-79 10%     0 - 1 -24.0 -18.0 -9.4
  Nov 27, 2020 248   Prairie View L 61-64 60%     0 - 2 -8.6 -7.5 -1.3
  Dec 02, 2020 337   @ Tennessee Martin L 87-93 2OT 81%     0 - 3 -18.3 -7.5 -9.8
  Dec 09, 2020 302   Eastern Illinois W 68-65 78%     1 - 3 -8.0 -2.3 -5.4
  Dec 15, 2020 264   Southeast Missouri St. W 66-63 OT 72%     2 - 3 -5.9 -8.3 +2.5
  Dec 21, 2020 96   Belmont L 63-72 27%     2 - 4 -5.5 -4.9 -1.4
  Dec 27, 2020 188   @ Southern Illinois L 57-63 38%     2 - 5 0 - 1 -5.8 -8.9 +2.5
  Dec 28, 2020 188   @ Southern Illinois W 84-72 38%     3 - 5 1 - 1 +12.2 +19.3 -6.1
  Jan 02, 2021 156   Northern Iowa W 65-61 44%     4 - 5 2 - 1 +2.7 -8.1 +10.8
  Jan 03, 2021 156   Northern Iowa W 70-64 44%     5 - 5 3 - 1 +4.7 +6.8 -1.2
  Jan 09, 2021 202   Illinois St. W 57-48 57%     6 - 5 4 - 1 +4.2 -6.3 +12.2
  Jan 10, 2021 202   Illinois St. L 68-73 57%     6 - 6 4 - 2 -9.8 +3.0 -13.5
  Jan 16, 2021 150   @ Bradley L 60-69 29%     6 - 7 4 - 3 -6.2 +1.1 -9.3
  Jan 17, 2021 150   @ Bradley L 55-86 29%     6 - 8 4 - 4 -28.2 -11.4 -20.0
  Jan 31, 2021 187   Valparaiso W 70-52 53%     7 - 8 5 - 4 +14.4 +10.4 +7.2
  Feb 01, 2021 187   Valparaiso W 58-51 53%     8 - 8 6 - 4 +3.4 -2.5 +7.3
  Feb 06, 2021 20   @ Loyola Chicago L 55-68 5%     8 - 9 6 - 5 +3.4 +5.9 -5.5
  Feb 07, 2021 20   @ Loyola Chicago L 58-69 5%     8 - 10 6 - 6 +5.4 +2.3 +1.9
  Feb 14, 2021 118   Indiana St. L 70-76 34%     8 - 11 6 - 7 -4.5 +3.3 -8.1
  Feb 17, 2021 118   @ Indiana St. L 73-87 22%     8 - 12 6 - 8 -8.7 +15.0 -25.8
  Feb 21, 2021 65   @ Drake L 71-85 11%     8 - 13 6 - 9 -3.6 +10.9 -16.6
  Feb 22, 2021 65   @ Drake L 63-74 11%     8 - 14 6 - 10 -0.6 +2.4 -4.8
  Feb 26, 2021 91   Missouri St. L 81-90 26%     8 - 15 6 - 11 -5.1 +10.2 -15.4
  Feb 27, 2021 91   Missouri St. W 72-63 26%     9 - 15 7 - 11 +12.9 +9.4 +4.6
  Mar 05, 2021 118   Indiana St. L 43-53 27%     9 - 16 -6.6 -15.9 +6.8
  Mar 08, 2021 156   @ Northern Iowa L 66-71 27%    
  Mar 09, 2021 156   Northern Iowa L 67-69 49%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 46.7 14.6 61.3 5th
6th 38.7 38.7 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 38.7 46.7 14.6 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 14.6% 14.6
8-12 46.7% 46.7
7-13 38.7% 38.7
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 14.6%
Lose Out 38.7%