Pre-tourney Rankings
Drake
Missouri Valley
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#65
Expected Predictive Rating+12.8#36
Pace66.3#247
Improvement-6.0#336

Offense
Total Offense+7.6#27
First Shot+6.4#30
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#95
Layup/Dunks+3.6#53
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#201
Freethrows-0.5#211
Improvement-1.4#260

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#145
First Shot+1.8#110
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#249
Layups/Dunks+1.1#137
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#20
Freethrows-0.7#228
Improvement-4.5#335
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 64.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 64.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four23.6% n/a n/a
First Round51.6% n/a n/a
Second Round15.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 21 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 01 - 2
Quad 25 - 06 - 2
Quad 36 - 212 - 4
Quad 411 - 023 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 137   @ Kansas St. W 80-70 68%     1 - 0 +13.8 +18.8 -4.2
  Nov 27, 2020 177   South Dakota W 69-53 81%     2 - 0 +15.4 -1.5 +18.3
  Dec 03, 2020 305   Nebraska Omaha W 87-66 96%     3 - 0 +9.8 +5.5 +3.3
  Dec 13, 2020 310   Air Force W 81-53 96%     4 - 0 +16.1 +7.2 +10.8
  Dec 18, 2020 177   @ South Dakota W 75-57 76%     5 - 0 +19.3 -1.1 +20.3
  Dec 20, 2020 346   Chicago St. W 111-67 99.5%    6 - 0 +18.4 +22.2 -6.7
  Dec 22, 2020 280   North Dakota W 88-55 94%     7 - 0 +23.3 +9.3 +13.8
  Dec 27, 2020 118   @ Indiana St. W 81-63 62%     8 - 0 1 - 0 +23.3 +14.5 +9.2
  Dec 28, 2020 118   @ Indiana St. W 73-66 62%     9 - 0 2 - 0 +12.3 +8.9 +3.7
  Jan 03, 2021 188   Southern Illinois W 73-55 87%     10 - 0 3 - 0 +14.4 +8.2 +8.5
  Jan 04, 2021 188   Southern Illinois W 86-55 87%     11 - 0 4 - 0 +27.4 +17.3 +11.9
  Jan 26, 2021 91   @ Missouri St. W 68-61 53%     12 - 0 5 - 0 +14.7 -4.4 +18.8
  Jan 27, 2021 91   @ Missouri St. W 78-73 53%     13 - 0 6 - 0 +12.7 +8.0 +4.6
  Jan 31, 2021 202   Illinois St. W 78-76 OT 89%     14 - 0 7 - 0 -2.8 -3.7 +0.6
  Feb 01, 2021 202   Illinois St. W 95-60 89%     15 - 0 8 - 0 +30.2 +22.5 +8.2
  Feb 06, 2021 187   @ Valparaiso W 80-77 79%     16 - 0 9 - 0 +3.2 +12.1 -8.8
  Feb 07, 2021 187   @ Valparaiso L 57-74 79%     16 - 1 9 - 1 -16.8 -15.8 -0.2
  Feb 10, 2021 156   Northern Iowa W 80-59 82%     17 - 1 10 - 1 +19.7 +8.2 +12.0
  Feb 13, 2021 20   Loyola Chicago L 54-81 35%     17 - 2 10 - 2 -14.4 -1.3 -17.3
  Feb 14, 2021 20   Loyola Chicago W 51-50 OT 35%     18 - 2 11 - 2 +13.6 -7.7 +21.4
  Feb 17, 2021 156   @ Northern Iowa W 77-69 72%     19 - 2 12 - 2 +10.4 +15.2 -3.7
  Feb 21, 2021 201   Evansville W 85-71 89%     20 - 2 13 - 2 +9.2 +19.3 -8.0
  Feb 22, 2021 201   Evansville W 74-63 89%     21 - 2 14 - 2 +6.2 +7.5 +0.5
  Feb 26, 2021 150   @ Bradley W 80-71 71%     22 - 2 15 - 2 +11.8 +15.9 -3.2
  Feb 27, 2021 150   @ Bradley L 61-67 71%     22 - 3 15 - 3 -3.2 -4.6 +0.7
  Mar 06, 2021 91   Missouri St. W 71-69 61%     23 - 3 +7.8 +7.0 +0.9
  Mar 07, 2021 20   Loyola Chicago L 65-75 28%     23 - 4 +4.5 +12.5 -9.6
Projected Record 23 - 4 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 64.7% 64.7% 10.8 0.1 2.3 17.0 36.6 8.6 0.0 35.3 64.7%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 64.7% 0.0% 64.7% 10.8 0.1 2.3 17.0 36.6 8.6 0.0 35.3 64.7%