Pre-tourney Rankings
North Dakota
Summit League
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#280
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#247
Pace67.8#208
Improvement+0.3#165

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#254
First Shot-2.8#257
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#202
Layup/Dunks+0.7#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#288
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#194
Freethrows-0.9#242
Improvement+2.4#52

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#288
First Shot-5.3#317
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#100
Layups/Dunks-5.7#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#170
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#146
Freethrows-0.4#206
Improvement-2.2#283
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 47 - 69 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 167   @ Miami (OH) L 67-81 18%     0 - 1 -12.1 -6.8 -5.4
  Dec 02, 2020 325   @ Dixie St. L 73-74 59%     0 - 2 -11.2 -5.6 -5.6
  Dec 04, 2020 63   @ Minnesota L 67-76 5%     0 - 3 +1.9 +1.6 +0.0
  Dec 10, 2020 177   South Dakota W 75-71 25%     1 - 3 1 - 0 +3.4 +1.2 +2.4
  Dec 11, 2020 115   South Dakota St. L 62-74 15%     1 - 4 1 - 1 -8.6 -13.8 +5.4
  Dec 12, 2020 153   North Dakota St. L 52-53 21%     1 - 5 1 - 2 -0.3 -11.9 +11.4
  Dec 17, 2020 188   @ Southern Illinois L 64-85 22%     1 - 6 -20.8 -7.3 -13.8
  Dec 18, 2020 188   @ Southern Illinois L 50-62 22%     1 - 7 -11.8 -19.6 +7.1
  Dec 22, 2020 65   @ Drake L 55-88 6%     1 - 8 -22.6 -16.2 -6.3
  Jan 02, 2021 210   UMKC W 52-45 40%     2 - 8 2 - 2 +1.7 -18.1 +20.1
  Jan 03, 2021 210   UMKC L 53-77 40%     2 - 9 2 - 3 -29.3 -12.4 -20.0
  Jan 08, 2021 152   @ Oral Roberts W 72-71 16%     3 - 9 3 - 3 +3.7 +1.1 +2.7
  Jan 09, 2021 152   @ Oral Roberts L 57-74 16%     3 - 10 3 - 4 -14.3 -20.1 +6.2
  Jan 15, 2021 153   North Dakota St. L 45-62 26%     3 - 11 3 - 5 -18.2 -22.5 +1.9
  Jan 16, 2021 153   North Dakota St. W 82-78 OT 26%     4 - 11 4 - 5 +2.8 +2.3 +0.1
  Jan 22, 2021 115   @ South Dakota St. L 73-92 11%     4 - 12 4 - 6 -13.7 -1.5 -11.9
  Jan 23, 2021 115   @ South Dakota St. L 74-85 11%     4 - 13 4 - 7 -5.7 -0.9 -4.6
  Jan 29, 2021 303   Western Illinois W 83-81 62%     5 - 13 5 - 7 -9.0 -1.3 -7.9
  Jan 30, 2021 303   Western Illinois L 87-99 62%     5 - 14 5 - 8 -23.0 +2.0 -24.2
  Feb 05, 2021 333   @ Denver W 85-82 OT 64%     6 - 14 6 - 8 -8.4 -5.9 -2.9
  Feb 06, 2021 333   @ Denver L 81-85 OT 64%     6 - 15 6 - 9 -15.4 -6.3 -8.8
  Feb 13, 2021 177   South Dakota W 85-76 31%     7 - 15 7 - 9 +6.5 +10.9 -4.0
  Feb 14, 2021 177   South Dakota W 85-81 31%     8 - 15 8 - 9 +1.5 +8.1 -6.5
  Feb 19, 2021 305   @ Nebraska Omaha L 62-72 49%     8 - 16 8 - 10 -17.4 -15.8 -1.3
  Feb 20, 2021 305   @ Nebraska Omaha W 81-69 49%     9 - 16 9 - 10 +4.6 +7.9 -3.0
  Mar 07, 2021 152   Oral Roberts L 65-76 21%     9 - 17 -10.2 -12.5 +2.4
Projected Record 9 - 17 9 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-19 1-18 2-17 3-16 4-15 5-14 6-13 7-12 8-11 9-10 10-9 11-8 12-7 13-6 14-5 15-4 16-3 17-2 18-1 19-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4
14-5
13-6
12-7
11-8
10-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4
14-5
13-6
12-7
11-8
10-9
9-10 100.0% 100.0
8-11
7-12
6-13
5-14
4-15
3-16
2-17
1-18
0-19
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%