Pre-tourney Rankings
Summit League
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
115 South Dakota St. 0.0%   15 - 7 11 - 4 15 - 7 11 - 4 +3.4      +5.4 50 -2.0 224 74.9 58 +4.3 112 +2.8 1
152 Oral Roberts 100.0%   16   13 - 10 10 - 5 13 - 10 10 - 5 +0.8      +4.7 67 -3.9 281 75.7 47 +1.0 152 -1.0 5
153 North Dakota St. 0.0%   15 - 12 13 - 6 15 - 12 13 - 6 +0.7      +0.6 157 0.0 167 62.7 317 +0.3 158 +0.9 2
177 South Dakota 0.0%   13 - 11 12 - 6 13 - 11 12 - 6 -0.6      +3.2 99 -3.8 280 70.8 130 -0.8 175 +0.6 3
210 UMKC 0.0%   7 - 13 7 - 7 7 - 13 7 - 7 -3.4      -4.9 285 +1.5 124 59.0 344 -6.3 255 -3.9 7
268 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   8 - 15 0 - 0 8 - 15 0 - 0 -7.2      -1.0 201 -6.2 312 71.7 108 -8.0 283 0.0 4
280 North Dakota 0.0%   9 - 17 9 - 10 9 - 17 9 - 10 -7.8      -3.3 254 -4.5 288 67.8 208 -5.9 247 -3.8 6
303 Western Illinois 0.0%   6 - 15 5 - 9 6 - 15 5 - 9 -9.1      -3.7 265 -5.5 306 76.0 42 -9.1 298 -7.1 8
305 Nebraska Omaha 0.0%   5 - 20 3 - 11 5 - 20 3 - 11 -9.3      -5.6 295 -3.7 275 75.0 57 -10.9 316 -13.0 9
333 Denver 0.0%   1 - 19 1 - 13 1 - 19 1 - 13 -13.3      -5.9 298 -7.4 333 74.2 69 -22.6 346 -19.6 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
South Dakota St. 3.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 4.0 100.0
North Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
South Dakota 2.0 100.0
UMKC 6.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 10.0 100.0
North Dakota 5.0 100.0
Western Illinois 7.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 8.0 100.0
Denver 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
South Dakota St. 11 - 5 100.0
Oral Roberts 10 - 6 100.0
North Dakota St. 13 - 3 100.0
South Dakota 12 - 4 100.0
UMKC 7 - 9 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 0 - 16 100.0
North Dakota 9 - 7 100.0
Western Illinois 5 - 11 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 3 - 13 100.0
Denver 1 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
South Dakota St.
Oral Roberts
North Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
South Dakota
UMKC
Purdue Fort Wayne
North Dakota
Western Illinois
Nebraska Omaha
Denver


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oral Roberts 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   19.1 80.9
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 100.0% 50.4% 81.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 81.2% 0.8 18.8 81.2
2nd Round 2.1% 0.0 97.9 2.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0