Pre-tourney Rankings
North Dakota St.
Summit League
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.7#153
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#158
Pace62.7#317
Improvement+2.1#87

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#157
First Shot-0.5#190
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#96
Layup/Dunks+1.9#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#237
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#237
Freethrows+0.4#148
Improvement+3.4#24

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#167
First Shot-2.1#243
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#29
Layups/Dunks-0.7#202
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#307
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#182
Freethrows+0.8#111
Improvement-1.4#248
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 35 - 65 - 10
Quad 410 - 215 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 87   Nevada L 48-62 28%     0 - 1 -7.4 -23.1 +15.6
  Nov 28, 2020 101   @ Nebraska L 57-79 27%     0 - 2 -14.9 -11.3 -3.0
  Nov 29, 2020 11   @ Creighton L 58-69 7%     0 - 3 +6.1 -4.7 +10.3
  Dec 05, 2020 17   @ Kansas L 61-65 8%     0 - 4 +12.6 +1.9 +10.5
  Dec 10, 2020 115   South Dakota St. L 75-77 39%     0 - 5 0 - 1 +1.4 +1.0 +0.4
  Dec 11, 2020 177   South Dakota W 74-67 55%     1 - 5 1 - 1 +6.4 +3.7 +3.3
  Dec 12, 2020 280   North Dakota W 53-52 79%     2 - 5 2 - 1 -6.8 -15.2 +8.6
  Dec 22, 2020 129   @ TCU L 82-89 36%     2 - 6 -2.5 +5.7 -7.8
  Jan 02, 2021 303   @ Western Illinois W 68-50 77%     3 - 6 3 - 1 +10.8 -6.8 +18.3
  Jan 03, 2021 303   @ Western Illinois W 78-67 77%     4 - 6 4 - 1 +3.8 +8.9 -4.0
  Jan 08, 2021 305   Nebraska Omaha W 71-69 86%     5 - 6 5 - 1 -9.2 -5.0 -4.1
  Jan 09, 2021 305   Nebraska Omaha W 80-66 86%     6 - 6 6 - 1 +2.8 +5.0 -1.7
  Jan 15, 2021 280   @ North Dakota W 62-45 74%     7 - 6 7 - 1 +11.1 -5.8 +19.2
  Jan 16, 2021 280   @ North Dakota L 78-82 OT 74%     7 - 7 7 - 2 -9.9 -4.0 -5.6
  Jan 22, 2021 333   Denver W 70-58 92%     8 - 7 8 - 2 -3.2 +0.4 -1.6
  Jan 23, 2021 333   Denver W 84-58 92%     9 - 7 9 - 2 +10.8 +7.0 +5.1
  Jan 29, 2021 210   @ UMKC W 71-67 58%     10 - 7 10 - 2 +2.5 +6.5 -3.7
  Jan 30, 2021 210   @ UMKC L 47-49 58%     10 - 8 10 - 3 -3.5 -11.5 +7.5
  Feb 05, 2021 152   Oral Roberts W 61-54 57%     11 - 8 11 - 3 +5.9 -12.4 +18.8
  Feb 06, 2021 152   Oral Roberts L 74-80 57%     11 - 9 11 - 4 -7.1 -2.4 -4.8
  Feb 19, 2021 115   South Dakota St. L 67-68 47%     11 - 10 11 - 5 +0.5 -2.2 +2.6
  Feb 20, 2021 115   South Dakota St. W 84-82 47%     12 - 10 12 - 5 +3.5 +9.1 -5.5
  Feb 27, 2021 177   @ South Dakota L 71-80 48%     12 - 11 12 - 6 -7.7 -7.5 +0.2
  Feb 28, 2021 177   @ South Dakota W 89-77 48%     13 - 11 13 - 6 +13.3 +18.1 -4.2
  Mar 07, 2021 210   UMKC W 69-65 65%     14 - 11 +0.6 +5.1 -4.1
  Mar 08, 2021 177   South Dakota W 79-75 55%     15 - 11 +3.4 +4.0 -0.6
  Mar 09, 2021 152   Oral Roberts L 72-75 49%     15 - 12 -2.2 -6.7 +4.6
Projected Record 15 - 12 13 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-19 1-18 2-17 3-16 4-15 5-14 6-13 7-12 8-11 9-10 10-9 11-8 12-7 13-6 14-5 15-4 16-3 17-2 18-1 19-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4
14-5
13-6 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-7
11-8
10-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4
14-5
13-6 100.0% 100.0
12-7
11-8
10-9
9-10
8-11
7-12
6-13
5-14
4-15
3-16
2-17
1-18
0-19
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%