Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#188
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#170
Pace64.8#281
Improvement-0.7#209

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#216
First Shot+2.8#99
After Offensive Rebound-4.3#342
Layup/Dunks+2.3#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#22
Freethrows-1.1#253
Improvement-1.8#274

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#180
First Shot-0.7#192
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#128
Layups/Dunks-1.6#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#257
Freethrows+1.4#85
Improvement+1.1#118
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 31 - 8
Quad 32 - 23 - 10
Quad 48 - 411 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 02, 2020 264   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 87-79 OT 63%     1 - 0 +2.9 +2.8 -0.8
  Dec 11, 2020 174   Murray St. W 70-66 52%     2 - 0 +1.8 -6.0 +7.7
  Dec 17, 2020 280   North Dakota W 85-64 78%     3 - 0 +11.3 +7.8 +3.8
  Dec 18, 2020 280   North Dakota W 62-50 78%     4 - 0 +2.3 -13.2 +16.1
  Dec 21, 2020 95   @ Butler W 76-73 20%     5 - 0 +10.3 +11.1 -0.7
  Dec 27, 2020 201   Evansville W 63-57 62%     6 - 0 1 - 0 +1.2 -8.8 +10.7
  Dec 28, 2020 201   Evansville L 72-84 62%     6 - 1 1 - 1 -16.8 -0.3 -17.6
  Jan 03, 2021 65   @ Drake L 55-73 13%     6 - 2 1 - 2 -7.6 -9.0 -0.8
  Jan 04, 2021 65   @ Drake L 55-86 13%     6 - 3 1 - 3 -20.6 -12.5 -10.0
  Jan 25, 2021 118   @ Indiana St. L 66-69 25%     6 - 4 1 - 4 +2.3 +1.6 +0.5
  Jan 26, 2021 118   @ Indiana St. L 59-71 25%     6 - 5 1 - 5 -6.7 -3.6 -4.3
  Jan 30, 2021 156   Northern Iowa L 62-74 49%     6 - 6 1 - 6 -13.3 -11.2 -2.3
  Jan 31, 2021 156   Northern Iowa W 71-68 49%     7 - 6 2 - 6 +1.7 -2.1 +3.8
  Feb 06, 2021 150   @ Bradley L 66-74 33%     7 - 7 2 - 7 -5.2 +0.1 -6.1
  Feb 07, 2021 150   @ Bradley W 69-68 33%     8 - 7 3 - 7 +3.8 +0.8 +3.0
  Feb 10, 2021 91   @ Missouri St. L 53-65 19%     8 - 8 3 - 8 -4.3 -12.8 +7.5
  Feb 13, 2021 202   Illinois St. L 55-80 62%     8 - 9 3 - 9 -29.8 -18.5 -11.5
  Feb 14, 2021 202   Illinois St. W 59-49 62%     9 - 9 4 - 9 +5.2 -9.5 +15.6
  Feb 17, 2021 91   Missouri St. L 53-68 29%     9 - 10 4 - 10 -11.1 -15.7 +3.7
  Feb 21, 2021 187   Valparaiso L 65-66 57%     9 - 11 4 - 11 -4.6 +9.1 -14.0
  Feb 22, 2021 187   Valparaiso W 67-64 57%     10 - 11 5 - 11 -0.6 -1.4 +0.9
  Feb 26, 2021 20   @ Loyola Chicago L 52-60 6%     10 - 12 5 - 12 +8.4 -3.9 +11.4
  Feb 27, 2021 20   @ Loyola Chicago L 58-65 OT 6%     10 - 13 5 - 13 +9.4 +0.7 +8.2
  Mar 04, 2021 150   Bradley W 73-63 40%     11 - 13 +10.9 +9.7 +2.6
  Mar 05, 2021 20   Loyola Chicago L 49-73 7%     11 - 14 -9.5 -10.2 -1.0
Projected Record 11 - 14 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%