Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa
Big Ten
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+19.4#5
Expected Predictive Rating+17.8#5
Pace72.9#89
Improvement-0.7#208

Offense
Total Offense+14.2#3
First Shot+12.0#3
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#43
Layup/Dunks+4.9#23
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.6#11
Freethrows+1.0#105
Improvement-5.1#343

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#49
First Shot+5.0#42
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#157
Layups/Dunks+3.0#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#318
Freethrows+4.3#3
Improvement+4.5#7
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 9.9% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 80.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round95.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen70.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight49.0% n/a n/a
Final Four25.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game13.1% n/a n/a
National Champion5.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 54 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 18 - 6
Quad 25 - 213 - 8
Quad 33 - 016 - 8
Quad 45 - 021 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 331   NC Central W 97-67 99.5%    1 - 0 +15.1 +19.1 -3.5
  Nov 27, 2020 312   Southern W 103-76 99%     2 - 0 +15.0 +18.6 -5.9
  Dec 03, 2020 303   Western Illinois W 99-58 99%     3 - 0 +30.0 +4.6 +19.1
  Dec 08, 2020 19   North Carolina W 93-80 74%     4 - 0 +25.7 +17.6 +6.6
  Dec 11, 2020 162   Iowa St. W 105-77 96%     5 - 0 +26.4 +29.2 -3.6
  Dec 13, 2020 323   Northern Illinois W 106-53 99%     6 - 0 +39.1 +20.9 +15.8
  Dec 19, 2020 1   Gonzaga L 88-99 23%     6 - 1 +16.0 +9.6 +8.4
  Dec 22, 2020 14   Purdue W 70-55 73%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +28.0 +9.4 +19.8
  Dec 25, 2020 63   @ Minnesota L 95-102 OT 79%     7 - 2 1 - 1 +3.9 +19.5 -15.0
  Dec 29, 2020 74   Northwestern W 87-72 89%     8 - 2 2 - 1 +21.0 +21.7 -0.3
  Jan 02, 2021 36   @ Rutgers W 77-75 70%     9 - 2 3 - 1 +16.1 +12.0 +4.1
  Jan 07, 2021 37   @ Maryland W 89-67 70%     10 - 2 4 - 1 +36.1 +18.9 +15.9
  Jan 10, 2021 63   Minnesota W 86-71 87%     11 - 2 5 - 1 +22.1 +14.4 +7.2
  Jan 17, 2021 74   @ Northwestern W 96-73 82%     12 - 2 6 - 1 +32.8 +28.4 +3.9
  Jan 21, 2021 44   Indiana L 69-81 84%     12 - 3 6 - 2 -3.2 +2.9 -6.3
  Jan 29, 2021 2   @ Illinois L 75-80 37%     12 - 4 6 - 3 +17.7 +12.6 +5.1
  Feb 02, 2021 54   Michigan St. W 84-78 86%     13 - 4 7 - 3 +14.0 +23.4 -8.9
  Feb 04, 2021 8   Ohio St. L 85-89 67%     13 - 5 7 - 4 +10.9 +14.4 -3.5
  Feb 07, 2021 44   @ Indiana L 65-67 74%     13 - 6 7 - 5 +10.6 +1.0 +9.5
  Feb 10, 2021 36   Rutgers W 79-66 80%     14 - 6 8 - 5 +23.3 +18.8 +5.4
  Feb 13, 2021 54   @ Michigan St. W 88-58 77%     15 - 6 9 - 5 +41.7 +25.5 +17.3
  Feb 18, 2021 18   @ Wisconsin W 77-62 61%     16 - 6 10 - 5 +31.6 +20.5 +12.5
  Feb 21, 2021 39   Penn St. W 74-68 82%     17 - 6 11 - 5 +15.6 +1.7 +13.6
  Feb 25, 2021 4   @ Michigan L 57-79 41%     17 - 7 11 - 6 -0.3 -3.7 +2.5
  Feb 28, 2021 8   @ Ohio St. W 73-57 53%     18 - 7 12 - 6 +34.7 +8.8 +26.9
  Mar 04, 2021 101   Nebraska W 102-64 92%     19 - 7 13 - 6 +41.3 +19.4 +16.7
  Mar 07, 2021 18   Wisconsin W 77-73 74%     20 - 7 14 - 6 +16.8 +17.6 -0.5
  Mar 12, 2021 18   Wisconsin W 62-57 67%     21 - 7 +19.7 +2.1 +18.0
  Mar 13, 2021 2   Illinois L 71-82 44%     21 - 8 +9.8 +2.4 +8.2
Projected Record 21 - 8 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.1 9.9 70.2 19.2 0.8 0.0 100.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.1 9.9 70.2 19.2 0.8 0.0 100.0%