Pre-tourney Rankings
Wisconsin
Big Ten
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.7#18
Expected Predictive Rating+13.7#25
Pace62.4#322
Improvement-1.9#258

Offense
Total Offense+6.7#36
First Shot+7.4#13
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#223
Layup/Dunks+0.9#125
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#190
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#27
Freethrows+1.6#69
Improvement-2.0#285

Defense
Total Defense+7.9#15
First Shot+6.6#17
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#69
Layups/Dunks+1.1#134
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#156
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#48
Freethrows+2.2#32
Improvement+0.2#174
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 8.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 98.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 98.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round98.4% n/a n/a
Second Round59.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen19.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight9.9% n/a n/a
Final Four3.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 103 - 10
Quad 1b2 - 05 - 10
Quad 25 - 210 - 12
Quad 34 - 014 - 12
Quad 43 - 017 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 302   Eastern Illinois W 77-67 98%     1 - 0 -1.0 -1.7 +0.7
  Nov 27, 2020 342   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 92-58 99%     2 - 0 +15.1 +8.1 +6.4
  Dec 01, 2020 251   Green Bay W 82-42 97%     3 - 0 +32.3 +7.8 +27.3
  Dec 04, 2020 69   @ Marquette L 65-67 67%     3 - 1 +8.2 +4.6 +3.4
  Dec 09, 2020 106   Rhode Island W 73-62 87%     4 - 1 +13.8 +1.5 +12.1
  Dec 15, 2020 20   Loyola Chicago W 77-63 58%     5 - 1 +26.6 +16.1 +11.0
  Dec 19, 2020 61   Louisville W 85-48 76%     6 - 1 +44.2 +23.5 +23.6
  Dec 22, 2020 101   Nebraska W 67-53 86%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +17.3 +2.4 +15.8
  Dec 25, 2020 54   @ Michigan St. W 85-76 61%     8 - 1 2 - 0 +20.7 +21.6 -0.6
  Dec 28, 2020 37   Maryland L 64-70 67%     8 - 2 2 - 1 +4.3 +4.2 -0.6
  Dec 31, 2020 63   Minnesota W 71-59 77%     9 - 2 3 - 1 +19.1 +8.5 +11.7
  Jan 07, 2021 44   Indiana W 80-73 2OT 71%     10 - 2 4 - 1 +15.8 +6.7 +8.7
  Jan 12, 2021 4   @ Michigan L 54-77 25%     10 - 3 4 - 2 -1.3 -5.0 +1.9
  Jan 15, 2021 36   @ Rutgers W 60-54 52%     11 - 3 5 - 2 +20.1 +1.4 +19.3
  Jan 20, 2021 74   Northwestern W 68-52 80%     12 - 3 6 - 2 +22.0 +10.2 +14.1
  Jan 23, 2021 8   Ohio St. L 62-74 49%     12 - 4 6 - 3 +2.9 -6.1 +8.5
  Jan 27, 2021 37   @ Maryland W 61-55 52%     13 - 4 7 - 3 +20.1 +2.6 +18.1
  Jan 30, 2021 39   @ Penn St. L 71-81 55%     13 - 5 7 - 4 +3.4 +2.6 +1.0
  Feb 02, 2021 39   Penn St. W 72-56 69%     14 - 5 8 - 4 +25.6 +12.1 +15.6
  Feb 06, 2021 2   @ Illinois L 60-75 22%     14 - 6 8 - 5 +7.7 -4.2 +12.3
  Feb 10, 2021 101   @ Nebraska W 61-48 77%     15 - 6 9 - 5 +20.1 -3.0 +23.7
  Feb 14, 2021 4   Michigan L 59-67 38%     15 - 7 9 - 6 +9.9 +1.3 +7.6
  Feb 18, 2021 5   Iowa L 62-77 39%     15 - 8 9 - 7 +2.5 -0.6 +1.7
  Feb 21, 2021 74   @ Northwestern W 68-51 68%     16 - 8 10 - 7 +26.8 +9.4 +19.1
  Feb 27, 2021 2   Illinois L 69-74 34%     16 - 9 10 - 8 +13.9 +1.4 +12.7
  Mar 02, 2021 14   @ Purdue L 69-73 42%     16 - 10 10 - 9 +12.8 +13.1 -0.8
  Mar 07, 2021 5   @ Iowa L 73-77 26%     16 - 11 10 - 10 +17.3 +12.3 +4.6
  Mar 11, 2021 39   Penn St. W 75-74 62%     17 - 11 +12.5 +13.8 -1.2
  Mar 12, 2021 5   Iowa L 57-62 33%     17 - 12 +14.4 -6.1 +20.0
Projected Record 17 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 98.5% 98.5% 8.1 0.0 1.1 7.5 19.0 35.6 27.6 7.4 0.3 1.6 98.5%
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 98.5% 0.0% 98.5% 8.1 0.0 1.1 7.5 19.0 35.6 27.6 7.4 0.3 1.6 98.5%