Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia
Atlantic Coast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.7#16
Expected Predictive Rating+15.5#14
Pace54.0#347
Improvement-1.5#242

Offense
Total Offense+8.7#15
First Shot+9.7#4
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#250
Layup/Dunks+2.4#82
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#16
Freethrows+0.5#144
Improvement-1.3#251

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#37
First Shot+3.8#62
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#22
Layups/Dunks+1.2#132
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#145
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#193
Freethrows+2.5#23
Improvement-0.3#195
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 8.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 88.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round82.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen47.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight18.5% n/a n/a
Final Four7.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.6% n/a n/a
National Champion0.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 21 - 2
Quad 1b4 - 25 - 4
Quad 24 - 19 - 5
Quad 35 - 114 - 6
Quad 44 - 018 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 273   Towson W 89-54 97%     1 - 0 +27.5 +23.8 +9.0
  Nov 27, 2020 104   San Francisco L 60-61 82%     1 - 1 +3.9 -2.9 +6.6
  Dec 01, 2020 287   St. Francis (PA) W 76-51 98%     2 - 1 +14.8 +7.9 +9.9
  Dec 04, 2020 116   Kent St. W 71-64 OT 89%     3 - 1 +8.5 +2.2 +6.7
  Dec 22, 2020 270   William & Mary W 76-40 98%     4 - 1 +26.8 +17.9 +17.4
  Dec 26, 2020 1   Gonzaga L 75-98 13%     4 - 2 +4.0 +13.3 -9.8
  Dec 30, 2020 84   @ Notre Dame W 66-57 71%     5 - 2 1 - 0 +18.0 +5.2 +14.4
  Jan 06, 2021 148   Wake Forest W 70-61 92%     6 - 2 2 - 0 +8.0 +9.6 +0.1
  Jan 09, 2021 147   @ Boston College W 61-49 86%     7 - 2 3 - 0 +14.8 -0.6 +17.6
  Jan 13, 2021 84   Notre Dame W 80-68 81%     8 - 2 4 - 0 +17.2 +13.9 +4.6
  Jan 16, 2021 45   @ Clemson W 85-50 58%     9 - 2 5 - 0 +47.6 +38.3 +16.6
  Jan 23, 2021 31   Georgia Tech W 64-62 64%     10 - 2 6 - 0 +12.9 +8.1 +5.2
  Jan 25, 2021 40   Syracuse W 81-58 70%     11 - 2 7 - 0 +32.3 +9.2 +22.8
  Jan 30, 2021 49   @ Virginia Tech L 51-65 59%     11 - 3 7 - 1 -1.6 -5.2 +0.8
  Feb 03, 2021 72   @ North Carolina St. W 64-57 68%     12 - 3 8 - 1 +16.9 +6.2 +12.0
  Feb 06, 2021 86   Pittsburgh W 73-66 83%     13 - 3 9 - 1 +11.8 +11.0 +1.7
  Feb 10, 2021 31   @ Georgia Tech W 57-49 50%     14 - 3 10 - 1 +22.7 -1.2 +25.1
  Feb 13, 2021 19   North Carolina W 60-48 58%     15 - 3 11 - 1 +24.7 +6.7 +20.3
  Feb 15, 2021 13   @ Florida St. L 60-81 42%     15 - 4 11 - 2 -4.1 +1.1 -7.9
  Feb 20, 2021 35   @ Duke L 65-66 52%     15 - 5 11 - 3 +13.2 +6.2 +6.8
  Feb 24, 2021 72   North Carolina St. L 61-68 79%     15 - 6 11 - 4 -0.9 +0.3 -2.3
  Mar 01, 2021 121   Miami (FL) W 62-51 89%     16 - 6 12 - 4 +12.3 -0.5 +14.4
  Mar 06, 2021 61   @ Louisville W 68-58 64%     17 - 6 13 - 4 +21.0 +19.3 +4.3
  Mar 11, 2021 40   Syracuse W 72-69 63%     18 - 6 +14.2 +11.7 +2.9
Projected Record 18 - 6 13 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.5 0.2 8.8 43.4 35.9 10.7 1.1 0.0 100.0%
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
8-9
7-10
6-11
5-12
4-13
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.5 0.2 8.8 43.4 35.9 10.7 1.1 0.0 100.0%