Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#72
Expected Predictive Rating+8.8#68
Pace68.8#183
Improvement-2.6#287

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#55
First Shot+4.1#70
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#101
Layup/Dunks+3.8#50
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#134
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#233
Freethrows+1.1#99
Improvement-1.1#235

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#98
First Shot+1.5#116
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#74
Layups/Dunks-1.3#227
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#231
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#90
Freethrows+1.4#81
Improvement-1.5#259
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.2% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 7
Quad 23 - 24 - 9
Quad 33 - 17 - 10
Quad 46 - 013 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 330   Charleston Southern W 95-61 97%     1 - 0 +19.1 +5.2 +9.8
  Nov 27, 2020 285   North Florida W 86-51 94%     2 - 0 +24.9 +15.2 +14.0
  Dec 03, 2020 225   Umass Lowell W 90-59 87%     3 - 0 +26.7 +12.3 +13.6
  Dec 17, 2020 55   @ Saint Louis L 69-80 36%     3 - 1 +0.6 -6.2 +8.0
  Dec 19, 2020 230   Campbell W 69-50 90%     4 - 1 +12.6 -10.8 +23.0
  Dec 22, 2020 19   North Carolina W 79-76 33%     5 - 1 1 - 0 +15.7 +6.8 +8.6
  Dec 30, 2020 147   Boston College W 79-76 80%     6 - 1 2 - 0 +2.0 +4.1 -2.1
  Jan 05, 2021 45   @ Clemson L 70-74 OT 33%     6 - 2 2 - 1 +8.6 +2.9 +5.9
  Jan 09, 2021 121   Miami (FL) L 59-64 74%     6 - 3 2 - 2 -3.7 -6.1 +1.9
  Jan 13, 2021 13   @ Florida St. L 73-105 20%     6 - 4 2 - 3 -15.1 +7.9 -23.7
  Jan 23, 2021 19   @ North Carolina L 76-86 21%     6 - 5 2 - 4 +6.5 +6.8 +0.4
  Jan 27, 2021 148   Wake Forest W 72-67 80%     7 - 5 3 - 4 +4.0 -2.9 +6.9
  Jan 31, 2021 40   @ Syracuse L 73-76 31%     7 - 6 3 - 5 +10.1 +7.3 +2.7
  Feb 03, 2021 16   Virginia L 57-64 32%     7 - 7 3 - 6 +5.8 -0.7 +5.3
  Feb 06, 2021 147   @ Boston College W 81-65 69%     8 - 7 4 - 6 +18.8 +5.0 +13.1
  Feb 09, 2021 40   Syracuse L 68-77 45%     8 - 8 4 - 7 +0.3 +0.3 -0.4
  Feb 13, 2021 35   Duke L 53-69 41%     8 - 9 4 - 8 -5.6 -10.6 +2.9
  Feb 17, 2021 86   @ Pittsburgh W 74-73 48%     9 - 9 5 - 8 +9.6 +10.1 -0.5
  Feb 20, 2021 148   @ Wake Forest W 80-62 69%     10 - 9 6 - 8 +20.8 +11.3 +10.2
  Feb 24, 2021 16   @ Virginia W 68-61 21%     11 - 9 7 - 8 +23.6 +13.6 +11.2
  Feb 28, 2021 86   Pittsburgh W 65-62 63%     12 - 9 8 - 8 +7.8 -2.3 +10.3
  Mar 03, 2021 84   @ Notre Dame W 80-69 46%     13 - 9 9 - 8 +20.0 +8.3 +11.9
  Mar 10, 2021 40   Syracuse L 68-89 38%     13 - 10 -9.8 +3.9 -15.5
Projected Record 13 - 10 9 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8 100.0% 0.2% 0.2% 12.2 0.2 0.0 99.8 0.2%
8-9
7-10
6-11
5-12
4-13
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 12.2 0.2 0.0 99.8 0.2%