Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Arkansas
Southland
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.7#327
Expected Predictive Rating-13.3#327
Pace75.4#53
Improvement-3.1#297

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#264
First Shot-3.6#268
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#175
Layup/Dunks-1.0#210
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#247
Freethrows-1.4#275
Improvement-0.7#214

Defense
Total Defense-9.0#344
First Shot-8.2#343
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#246
Layups/Dunks-1.3#228
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.6#345
Freethrows-0.1#185
Improvement-2.4#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 31 - 51 - 12
Quad 43 - 74 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 04, 2020 32   @ Memphis L 68-85 1%     0 - 1 -2.6 -7.7 +8.7
  Dec 06, 2020 226   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 83-86 17%     0 - 2 -5.4 +0.0 -5.1
  Dec 08, 2020 55   @ Saint Louis L 65-88 2%     0 - 3 -11.4 -7.9 -1.7
  Dec 12, 2020 12   @ Arkansas L 75-100 1%     0 - 4 -8.0 +2.5 -7.5
  Dec 14, 2020 48   @ Mississippi L 54-68 2%     0 - 5 -1.5 -12.3 +11.2
  Dec 16, 2020 71   @ Mississippi St. L 65-81 3%     0 - 6 -6.0 +0.6 -7.3
  Dec 29, 2020 3   @ Baylor L 56-93 0.4%    0 - 7 -15.0 -16.8 +6.0
  Jan 02, 2021 332   @ McNeese St. W 81-67 45%     1 - 7 1 - 0 +2.6 -5.5 +7.0
  Jan 06, 2021 281   New Orleans W 83-79 39%     2 - 7 2 - 0 -5.7 +2.5 -8.3
  Jan 09, 2021 180   Sam Houston St. L 80-91 17%     2 - 8 2 - 1 -13.6 -0.7 -11.9
  Jan 13, 2021 145   @ Stephen F. Austin L 69-95 8%     2 - 9 2 - 2 -23.1 -5.2 -17.0
  Jan 16, 2021 193   Nicholls St. L 72-74 21%     2 - 10 2 - 3 -6.1 -3.0 -3.1
  Jan 23, 2021 100   @ Abilene Christian L 58-93 4%     2 - 11 2 - 4 -27.8 -13.5 -11.5
  Jan 27, 2021 329   @ SE Louisiana L 57-69 44%     2 - 12 2 - 5 -23.0 -21.1 -2.0
  Jan 30, 2021 314   Northwestern St. L 77-81 49%     2 - 13 2 - 6 -16.5 -5.6 -10.7
  Feb 06, 2021 332   McNeese St. L 70-80 60%     2 - 14 2 - 7 -25.2 -10.8 -14.6
  Feb 13, 2021 180   @ Sam Houston St. L 57-97 10%     2 - 15 2 - 8 -38.8 -17.2 -19.9
  Feb 20, 2021 193   @ Nicholls St. L 68-79 13%     2 - 16 2 - 9 -11.3 -7.6 -3.4
  Feb 22, 2021 281   @ New Orleans L 63-88 26%     2 - 17 2 - 10 -30.9 -16.8 -12.8
  Feb 27, 2021 100   Abilene Christian W 84-82 8%     3 - 17 3 - 10 +5.4 +9.6 -4.3
  Mar 01, 2021 145   Stephen F. Austin L 66-79 14%     3 - 18 3 - 11 -13.9 -5.7 -8.7
  Mar 03, 2021 329   SE Louisiana W 88-71 58%     4 - 18 4 - 11 +2.2 +7.6 -5.5
  Mar 06, 2021 314   @ Northwestern St. L 70-79 35%     4 - 19 4 - 12 -17.7 -6.0 -12.0
Projected Record 4 - 19 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12 100.0% 100.0
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%