Pre-tourney Rankings
Southland
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
100 Abilene Christian 100.0%   14   18 - 4 13 - 2 19 - 4 13 - 2 +5.3      +0.3 168 +5.0 53 72.3 97 +5.4 101 +3.2 2
145 Stephen F. Austin 0.0%   13 - 5 13 - 3 13 - 5 13 - 3 +1.0      +1.0 143 -0.1 174 71.6 116 +0.2 159 +2.2 3
180 Sam Houston St. 0.0%   15 - 8 13 - 3 16 - 8 13 - 3 -0.7      -1.0 199 +0.2 162 75.2 56 +2.9 128 +3.4 1
193 Nicholls St. 0.0%   16 - 6 14 - 2 17 - 7 14 - 2 -2.2      -0.8 194 -1.4 208 75.6 48 +0.5 156 +1.7 4
281 New Orleans 0.0%   9 - 15 8 - 7 9 - 15 8 - 7 -7.8      -3.3 255 -4.5 290 77.7 27 -11.1 318 -9.3 6
306 Lamar 0.0%   9 - 18 7 - 10 9 - 19 7 - 10 -9.4      -7.0 314 -2.3 236 69.4 170 -10.4 314 -10.3 7
314 Northwestern St. 0.0%   10 - 17 9 - 7 10 - 18 9 - 7 -10.6      -4.6 276 -6.1 310 74.9 59 -9.1 299 -8.2 5
327 Central Arkansas 0.0%   4 - 19 4 - 12 4 - 19 4 - 12 -12.7      -3.7 264 -9.0 344 75.4 53 -13.3 327 -13.1 9
329 SE Louisiana 0.0%   8 - 18 6 - 11 8 - 18 6 - 11 -12.9      -6.5 307 -6.4 318 70.4 147 -11.1 319 -12.3 8
332 McNeese St. 0.0%   4 - 14 4 - 12 4 - 14 4 - 12 -13.3      -4.8 283 -8.5 343 69.8 156 -16.5 336 -16.4 12
335 TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0%   2 - 19 2 - 13 2 - 19 2 - 13 -13.7      -9.0 338 -4.6 291 71.7 112 -19.8 341 -18.8 13
336 Incarnate Word 0.0%   5 - 14 5 - 10 5 - 14 5 - 10 -14.1      -6.2 305 -7.9 338 62.9 313 -14.5 332 -14.2 11
338 Houston Baptist 0.0%   5 - 19 5 - 11 5 - 19 5 - 11 -14.4      -7.0 312 -7.4 332 78.6 21 -14.6 333 -13.6 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Abilene Christian 2.0 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 2.0 100.0
Sam Houston St. 2.0 100.0
Nicholls St. 1.0 100.0
New Orleans 6.0 100.0
Lamar 7.0 100.0
Northwestern St. 5.0 100.0
Central Arkansas 11.0 100.0
SE Louisiana 8.0 100.0
McNeese St. 11.0 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 13.0 100.0
Incarnate Word 9.0 100.0
Houston Baptist 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Abilene Christian 13 - 3 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 13 - 3 100.0
Sam Houston St. 13 - 3 100.0
Nicholls St. 14 - 2 100.0
New Orleans 8 - 8 100.0
Lamar 7 - 9 100.0
Northwestern St. 9 - 7 100.0
Central Arkansas 4 - 12 100.0
SE Louisiana 6 - 10 100.0
McNeese St. 4 - 12 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 2 - 14 100.0
Incarnate Word 5 - 11 100.0
Houston Baptist 5 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Abilene Christian
Stephen F. Austin
Sam Houston St.
Nicholls St. 100.0% 100.0
New Orleans
Lamar
Northwestern St.
Central Arkansas
SE Louisiana
McNeese St.
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Incarnate Word
Houston Baptist


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Abilene Christian 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 5.3 80.1 14.6
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Houston Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Abilene Christian 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 15.4% 3.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Houston Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 15.4% 0.2 84.6 15.4
Sweet Sixteen 3.4% 0.0 96.6 3.4
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0