Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas Tech
Big 12
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.4#22
Expected Predictive Rating+12.4#39
Pace64.2#293
Improvement-1.6#245

Offense
Total Offense+7.0#32
First Shot+4.7#60
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#44
Layup/Dunks+0.2#148
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#281
Freethrows+3.5#7
Improvement+1.6#88

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#21
First Shot+7.9#8
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#207
Layups/Dunks+8.8#2
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#144
Freethrows-0.1#184
Improvement-3.2#316
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 4.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 96.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 96.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round96.3% n/a n/a
Second Round55.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen16.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight8.6% n/a n/a
Final Four3.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 83 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 24 - 10
Quad 21 - 05 - 10
Quad 34 - 09 - 10
Quad 48 - 017 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 314   Northwestern St. W 101-58 99%     1 - 0 +30.5 +8.7 +16.5
  Nov 27, 2020 180   Sam Houston St. W 84-52 93%     2 - 0 +29.4 +8.3 +20.2
  Nov 29, 2020 6   Houston L 53-64 33%     2 - 1 +8.0 -9.2 +16.6
  Dec 04, 2020 274   Troy W 80-46 98%     3 - 1 +24.6 +8.9 +17.5
  Dec 06, 2020 317   Grambling St. W 81-40 99%     4 - 1 +28.2 +2.5 +25.0
  Dec 09, 2020 100   Abilene Christian W 51-44 85%     5 - 1 +10.4 -12.9 +23.9
  Dec 12, 2020 335   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 77-57 99%     6 - 1 +6.3 +7.5 +0.9
  Dec 17, 2020 17   Kansas L 57-58 56%     6 - 2 0 - 1 +11.8 -2.1 +13.9
  Dec 22, 2020 38   @ Oklahoma W 69-67 53%     7 - 2 1 - 1 +15.8 +4.2 +11.6
  Dec 29, 2020 336   Incarnate Word W 79-51 99%     8 - 2 +12.0 +1.9 +11.7
  Jan 02, 2021 28   Oklahoma St. L 77-82 OT 60%     8 - 3 1 - 2 +6.8 +5.3 +1.9
  Jan 05, 2021 137   Kansas St. W 82-71 91%     9 - 3 2 - 2 +11.0 +16.2 -4.6
  Jan 09, 2021 162   @ Iowa St. W 91-64 87%     10 - 3 3 - 2 +29.2 +21.2 +8.3
  Jan 13, 2021 25   @ Texas W 79-77 43%     11 - 3 4 - 2 +18.2 +13.2 +5.0
  Jan 16, 2021 3   Baylor L 60-68 36%     11 - 4 4 - 3 +10.2 -8.3 +18.5
  Jan 25, 2021 26   @ West Virginia L 87-88 44%     11 - 5 4 - 4 +15.0 +18.7 -3.6
  Jan 30, 2021 29   @ LSU W 76-71 46%     12 - 5 +20.5 +7.0 +13.5
  Feb 01, 2021 38   Oklahoma W 57-52 67%     13 - 5 5 - 4 +15.0 -1.2 +17.0
  Feb 06, 2021 137   @ Kansas St. W 73-62 84%     14 - 5 6 - 4 +14.8 +10.7 +5.0
  Feb 09, 2021 26   West Virginia L 71-82 58%     14 - 6 6 - 5 +1.2 +1.2 +0.1
  Feb 20, 2021 17   @ Kansas L 61-67 42%     14 - 7 6 - 6 +10.6 +6.5 +3.3
  Feb 22, 2021 28   @ Oklahoma St. L 69-74 OT 46%     14 - 8 6 - 7 +10.5 -0.2 +11.1
  Feb 27, 2021 25   Texas W 68-59 58%     15 - 8 7 - 7 +21.4 +5.4 +16.6
  Mar 02, 2021 129   TCU W 69-49 90%     16 - 8 8 - 7 +20.7 +11.1 +13.9
  Mar 04, 2021 162   Iowa St. W 81-54 92%     17 - 8 9 - 7 +25.4 +11.4 +15.0
  Mar 07, 2021 3   @ Baylor L 73-88 24%     17 - 9 9 - 8 +7.0 +13.8 -8.3
  Mar 11, 2021 25   Texas L 66-67 51%     17 - 10 +13.3 +4.1 +9.1
Projected Record 17 - 10 9 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8 100.0% 96.3% 96.3% 8.5 0.0 0.6 3.6 10.9 30.5 36.7 13.5 0.6 0.0 3.7 96.3%
8-9
7-10
6-11
5-12
4-13
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 96.3% 0.0% 96.3% 8.5 0.0 0.6 3.6 10.9 30.5 36.7 13.5 0.6 0.0 3.7 96.3%