Pre-tourney Rankings
Big 12
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
3 Baylor 100.0%   1   22 - 2 13 - 1 22 - 2 13 - 1 +20.1      +14.6 2 +5.5 43 69.6 160 +23.9 2 +26.2 1
17 Kansas 100.0%   3   19 - 8 12 - 6 19 - 8 12 - 6 +14.7      +5.1 58 +9.6 6 69.1 177 +16.3 11 +15.5 2
22 Texas Tech 96.3%   9   17 - 10 9 - 8 17 - 10 9 - 8 +14.4      +7.0 32 +7.5 21 64.2 293 +12.4 39 +11.9 6
25 Texas 100.0%   4   19 - 7 11 - 6 19 - 7 11 - 6 +14.3      +8.3 17 +6.0 38 70.5 142 +16.1 12 +14.2 4
26 West Virginia 100.0%   5   18 - 9 11 - 6 18 - 9 11 - 6 +14.1      +9.7 11 +4.5 65 71.7 114 +14.3 21 +14.2 3
28 Oklahoma St. 100.0%   4   20 - 8 11 - 7 20 - 8 11 - 7 +13.7      +6.0 43 +7.6 17 75.8 45 +16.4 9 +14.0 5
38 Oklahoma 88.8%   10   15 - 10 9 - 8 15 - 10 9 - 8 +11.9      +6.6 37 +5.3 47 68.0 203 +11.6 44 +11.4 7
129 TCU 0.0%   12 - 14 5 - 11 12 - 14 5 - 11 +2.6      +1.8 121 +0.8 151 66.2 248 +5.9 95 +5.9 8
137 Kansas St. 0.0%   9 - 19 4 - 14 9 - 19 4 - 14 +1.9      -2.0 227 +3.8 72 64.2 294 +1.5 144 +3.4 9
162 Iowa St. 0.0%   2 - 22 0 - 18 2 - 22 0 - 18 +0.3      -0.7 192 +0.9 146 72.2 98 -10.3 312 -10.4 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Baylor 1.0 100.0
Kansas 2.0 100.0
Texas Tech 6.0 100.0
Texas 3.0 100.0
West Virginia 3.0 100.0
Oklahoma St. 3.0 100.0
Oklahoma 6.0 100.0
TCU 8.0 100.0
Kansas St. 9.0 100.0
Iowa St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Baylor 13 - 5 100.0
Kansas 12 - 6 100.0
Texas Tech 9 - 9 100.0
Texas 11 - 7 100.0
West Virginia 11 - 7 100.0
Oklahoma St. 11 - 7 100.0
Oklahoma 9 - 9 100.0
TCU 5 - 13 100.0
Kansas St. 4 - 14 100.0
Iowa St. 0 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Baylor 100.0% 100.0
Kansas
Texas Tech
Texas
West Virginia
Oklahoma St.
Oklahoma
TCU
Kansas St.
Iowa St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1   77.6 22.4 0.1 100.0%
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   0.1 7.1 46.6 36.6 9.0 0.5 0.0 100.0%
Texas Tech 96.3% 0.0% 96.3% 9   0.0 0.6 3.6 10.9 30.5 36.7 13.5 0.6 0.0 3.7 96.3%
Texas 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 4   0.0 4.5 39.9 42.1 12.8 0.7 0.0
West Virginia 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.2 6.9 23.2 47.3 19.9 2.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Oklahoma St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.0 3.0 36.8 44.4 15.2 0.6 100.0%
Oklahoma 88.8% 0.0% 88.8% 10   0.0 0.3 6.4 25.7 45.4 11.0 0.1 11.2 88.8%
TCU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Iowa St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.1% 74.4% 54.7% 34.7% 18.2% 8.2%
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 82.1% 46.8% 18.3% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7%
Texas Tech 96.3% 0.0% 96.3% 55.5% 16.9% 8.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
Texas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 80.1% 44.0% 15.9% 5.9% 2.0% 0.6%
West Virginia 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 72.9% 38.4% 12.4% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4%
Oklahoma St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 78.3% 41.3% 13.8% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Oklahoma 88.8% 1.1% 88.3% 39.4% 10.9% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
TCU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iowa St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 6.9 0.3 14.2 85.5
1st Round 100.0% 6.8 0.4 14.6 85.0
2nd Round 100.0% 5.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 6.6 20.7 35.5 28.4 7.7
Sweet Sixteen 98.6% 2.7 1.4 11.5 29.5 34.1 18.3 4.8 0.5 0.0
Elite Eight 83.2% 1.3 16.8 46.8 28.5 7.1 0.7 0.0
Final Four 53.7% 0.6 46.3 45.3 8.0 0.4 0.0
Final Game 26.5% 0.3 73.5 25.7 0.8
Champion 10.6% 0.1 89.4 10.6