Pre-tourney Rankings
East Tennessee St.
Southern
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#131
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#157
Pace64.6#285
Improvement+1.7#102

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#152
First Shot+0.0#172
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#119
Layup/Dunks-3.9#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#33
Freethrows-1.1#257
Improvement+4.4#12

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#123
First Shot+1.6#114
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#173
Layups/Dunks+0.8#143
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#79
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#192
Freethrows-0.2#187
Improvement-2.8#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 23 - 33 - 5
Quad 34 - 67 - 11
Quad 44 - 111 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 100   Abilene Christian L 47-70 39%     0 - 1 -17.7 -21.4 +4.0
  Nov 26, 2020 208   Austin Peay L 66-67 71%     0 - 2 -4.3 -11.0 +6.6
  Nov 27, 2020 292   Middle Tennessee W 57-43 85%     1 - 2 +5.4 -22.8 +26.9
  Dec 12, 2020 93   UAB L 61-65 45%     1 - 3 -0.3 -8.6 +8.3
  Dec 15, 2020 198   Gardner-Webb W 65-60 75%     2 - 3 +0.5 -9.5 +10.2
  Dec 22, 2020 7   @ Alabama L 69-85 6%     2 - 4 +3.7 +5.5 -1.2
  Dec 30, 2020 238   Western Carolina W 86-78 81%     3 - 4 1 - 0 +1.1 +3.7 -3.1
  Jan 02, 2021 97   @ UNC Greensboro W 71-61 32%     4 - 4 2 - 0 +17.2 +6.3 +11.4
  Jan 16, 2021 94   @ Furman L 66-78 31%     4 - 5 2 - 1 -4.5 -2.3 -2.6
  Jan 18, 2021 160   VMI W 92-81 64%     5 - 5 3 - 1 +9.5 +22.0 -11.6
  Jan 20, 2021 238   @ Western Carolina W 59-48 70%     6 - 5 4 - 1 +7.9 -15.2 +23.3
  Jan 23, 2021 94   Furman W 71-62 45%     7 - 5 5 - 1 +12.7 +3.7 +9.7
  Jan 30, 2021 220   The Citadel W 112-84 79%     8 - 5 6 - 1 +22.0 +27.0 -6.6
  Feb 01, 2021 127   @ Wofford L 62-67 42%     8 - 6 6 - 2 -0.4 +0.1 -1.3
  Feb 03, 2021 136   @ Mercer W 70-64 44%     9 - 6 7 - 2 +9.9 +9.0 +1.8
  Feb 06, 2021 164   Chattanooga L 65-67 65%     9 - 7 7 - 3 -3.7 +1.1 -5.0
  Feb 10, 2021 220   @ The Citadel L 71-79 67%     9 - 8 7 - 4 -10.2 -5.8 -4.3
  Feb 13, 2021 127   Wofford W 71-49 56%     10 - 8 8 - 4 +22.8 +2.5 +21.9
  Feb 15, 2021 164   @ Chattanooga L 51-53 51%     10 - 9 8 - 5 +0.1 -12.3 +12.1
  Feb 17, 2021 136   Mercer L 64-71 59%     10 - 10 8 - 6 -6.9 -3.5 -4.2
  Feb 27, 2021 97   UNC Greensboro L 74-85 OT 46%     10 - 11 8 - 7 -7.6 +0.3 -7.3
  Mar 06, 2021 164   Chattanooga W 63-53 58%     11 - 11 +10.2 -7.0 +17.7
  Mar 07, 2021 97   UNC Greensboro L 65-77 39%     11 - 12 -6.7 +4.9 -13.1
Projected Record 11 - 12 8 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Southern Finish

0-15 1-14 2-13 3-12 4-11 5-10 6-9 7-8 8-7 9-6 10-5 11-4 12-3 13-2 14-1 15-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
15-0
14-1
13-2
12-3
11-4
10-5
9-6
8-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
15-0
14-1
13-2
12-3
11-4
10-5
9-6
8-7 100.0% 100.0
7-8
6-9
5-10
4-11
3-12
2-13
1-14
0-15
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%