Pre-tourney Rankings
The Citadel
Southern
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#220
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#189
Pace81.0#8
Improvement-0.1#179

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#150
First Shot+2.2#111
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#268
Layup/Dunks-2.2#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#164
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#64
Freethrows+0.8#122
Improvement-3.1#312

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#299
First Shot-4.6#304
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#200
Layups/Dunks-8.3#347
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#224
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#16
Freethrows-0.2#191
Improvement+3.0#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 60 - 7
Quad 34 - 54 - 12
Quad 45 - 09 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 03, 2020 299   N.C. A&T W 78-70 74%     1 - 0 -2.6 -5.9 +2.5
  Dec 19, 2020 249   @ Longwood W 91-89 49%     2 - 0 -1.8 +7.8 -9.8
  Dec 22, 2020 318   Presbyterian W 94-82 80%     3 - 0 -1.2 +11.7 -13.5
  Jan 09, 2021 164   Chattanooga W 92-87 41%     4 - 0 1 - 0 +3.3 +9.8 -6.9
  Jan 13, 2021 94   Furman L 88-94 23%     4 - 1 1 - 1 -2.3 -0.4 -0.8
  Jan 16, 2021 160   @ VMI L 103-110 27%     4 - 2 1 - 2 -4.7 +11.5 -15.1
  Jan 18, 2021 97   @ UNC Greensboro L 73-87 15%     4 - 3 1 - 3 -6.8 +3.2 -9.6
  Jan 20, 2021 136   Mercer L 63-83 34%     4 - 4 1 - 4 -19.9 -13.7 -5.5
  Jan 27, 2021 127   Wofford W 77-69 32%     5 - 4 2 - 4 +8.8 -2.9 +11.0
  Jan 30, 2021 131   @ East Tennessee St. L 84-112 21%     5 - 5 2 - 5 -23.7 +8.9 -31.1
  Feb 01, 2021 238   @ Western Carolina L 75-76 46%     5 - 6 2 - 6 -4.1 -3.9 -0.2
  Feb 03, 2021 97   UNC Greensboro L 66-85 24%     5 - 7 2 - 7 -15.6 -7.0 -7.6
  Feb 06, 2021 238   Western Carolina W 74-63 61%     6 - 7 3 - 7 +4.1 -3.0 +7.1
  Feb 10, 2021 131   East Tennessee St. W 79-71 33%     7 - 7 4 - 7 +8.5 +6.7 +1.7
  Feb 13, 2021 164   @ Chattanooga L 66-70 27%     7 - 8 4 - 8 -1.9 -4.5 +2.5
  Feb 17, 2021 127   @ Wofford L 67-81 21%     7 - 9 4 - 9 -9.4 -6.8 -2.2
  Feb 20, 2021 160   VMI W 75-74 40%     8 - 9 5 - 9 -0.5 -8.3 +7.8
  Feb 22, 2021 136   @ Mercer L 52-88 22%     8 - 10 5 - 10 -32.1 -20.0 -12.4
  Feb 24, 2021 94   @ Furman L 63-72 14%     8 - 11 5 - 11 -1.5 -4.1 +2.1
  Mar 05, 2021 238   Western Carolina W 100-86 54%     9 - 11 +9.0 +11.8 -4.5
  Mar 06, 2021 97   UNC Greensboro L 72-80 19%     9 - 12 -2.7 -1.7 -0.5
Projected Record 9 - 12 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Southern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%