Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas San Antonio
Conference USA
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#146
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#153
Pace76.7#32
Improvement+8.6#1

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#91
First Shot+1.0#141
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#29
Layup/Dunks+0.0#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#75
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#120
Freethrows-2.0#302
Improvement+2.8#36

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#244
First Shot-3.2#278
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#115
Layups/Dunks-1.3#224
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#221
Freethrows-3.9#344
Improvement+5.7#2
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 51 - 6
Quad 31 - 42 - 10
Quad 49 - 111 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 297   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 64-81 77%     0 - 1 -23.8 -7.7 -16.2
  Dec 03, 2020 38   @ Oklahoma L 66-105 12%     0 - 2 -25.2 -9.2 -11.0
  Dec 16, 2020 80   @ Oregon St. L 61-73 21%     0 - 3 -2.7 -8.2 +5.4
  Dec 22, 2020 306   Lamar W 88-66 87%     1 - 3 +10.8 +4.3 +4.5
  Jan 01, 2021 186   @ Rice L 86-95 53%     1 - 4 0 - 1 -8.8 +3.7 -11.7
  Jan 02, 2021 186   @ Rice L 69-84 53%     1 - 5 0 - 2 -14.8 -9.1 -4.9
  Jan 08, 2021 77   North Texas L 70-77 32%     1 - 6 0 - 3 -1.2 +5.6 -7.2
  Jan 09, 2021 77   North Texas W 77-69 32%     2 - 6 1 - 3 +13.8 +11.3 +2.7
  Jan 15, 2021 78   @ Louisiana Tech L 66-77 21%     2 - 7 1 - 4 -1.5 -6.9 +6.6
  Jan 16, 2021 78   @ Louisiana Tech L 66-82 21%     2 - 8 1 - 5 -6.5 +3.1 -10.2
  Jan 22, 2021 240   Southern Miss W 70-64 77%     3 - 8 2 - 5 -0.9 -1.1 +0.3
  Jan 23, 2021 240   Southern Miss W 78-72 77%     4 - 8 3 - 5 -0.9 +4.6 -5.6
  Jan 28, 2021 138   UTEP W 86-79 54%     5 - 8 4 - 5 +6.9 +12.3 -5.4
  Jan 30, 2021 138   @ UTEP L 51-69 39%     5 - 9 4 - 6 -14.3 -21.0 +7.2
  Feb 05, 2021 295   @ Florida International W 87-80 77%     6 - 9 5 - 6 +0.3 +9.9 -9.7
  Feb 06, 2021 295   @ Florida International W 90-47 77%     7 - 9 6 - 6 +36.3 +11.3 +24.0
  Feb 12, 2021 163   Florida Atlantic W 84-80 60%     8 - 9 7 - 6 +2.4 +6.0 -3.8
  Feb 13, 2021 163   Florida Atlantic W 86-75 60%     9 - 9 8 - 6 +9.4 +9.5 -0.5
  Feb 26, 2021 93   UAB L 57-64 39%     9 - 10 8 - 7 -3.3 -16.9 +14.2
  Feb 27, 2021 93   UAB W 96-79 39%     10 - 10 9 - 7 +20.7 +23.1 -3.0
  Mar 10, 2021 221   Charlotte W 72-62 69%     11 - 10 +5.8 -1.5 +7.4
  Mar 11, 2021 88   Western Kentucky L 67-80 30%     11 - 11 -6.7 -0.7 -6.1
Projected Record 11 - 11 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%