Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Miss
Conference USA
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#240
Expected Predictive Rating-7.4#275
Pace67.2#222
Improvement+0.7#151

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#304
First Shot-4.3#285
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#291
Layup/Dunks-2.3#269
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#326
Freethrows-1.3#270
Improvement-1.3#254

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#140
First Shot-0.4#179
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#58
Layups/Dunks+4.3#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#304
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#284
Freethrows-0.4#200
Improvement+2.0#73
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 50 - 5
Quad 30 - 70 - 12
Quad 46 - 56 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 288   @ Jacksonville L 51-66 55%     0 - 1 -21.4 -19.7 -2.8
  Dec 09, 2020 143   @ Tulane L 38-58 22%     0 - 2 -17.0 -29.3 +11.4
  Dec 12, 2020 197   South Alabama L 75-76 48%     0 - 3 -5.5 -0.1 -5.5
  Dec 15, 2020 306   @ Lamar W 66-63 59%     1 - 3 -4.5 -5.6 +1.3
  Dec 19, 2020 278   Louisiana Monroe W 60-47 67%     2 - 3 +3.4 -9.4 +14.2
  Jan 01, 2021 138   UTEP W 74-66 OT 32%     3 - 3 1 - 0 +7.9 -5.1 +12.3
  Jan 02, 2021 138   UTEP L 62-77 32%     3 - 4 1 - 1 -15.1 -1.6 -15.7
  Jan 08, 2021 93   @ UAB L 60-72 12%     3 - 5 1 - 2 -4.5 +3.3 -9.9
  Jan 09, 2021 93   @ UAB L 58-62 12%     3 - 6 1 - 3 +3.5 +0.4 +2.4
  Jan 15, 2021 292   Middle Tennessee W 84-54 70%     4 - 6 2 - 3 +19.5 +5.5 +12.9
  Jan 16, 2021 292   Middle Tennessee W 64-59 70%     5 - 6 3 - 3 -5.5 -14.6 +8.9
  Jan 22, 2021 146   @ Texas San Antonio L 64-70 23%     5 - 7 3 - 4 -3.1 -9.1 +5.8
  Jan 23, 2021 146   @ Texas San Antonio L 72-78 23%     5 - 8 3 - 5 -3.1 -3.2 +0.1
  Jan 28, 2021 78   Louisiana Tech L 63-76 16%     5 - 9 3 - 6 -7.3 -6.8 +0.0
  Jan 30, 2021 78   @ Louisiana Tech L 62-65 9%     5 - 10 3 - 7 +6.5 -5.5 +12.1
  Feb 05, 2021 186   @ Rice L 62-88 31%     5 - 11 3 - 8 -25.8 -13.1 -12.5
  Feb 06, 2021 186   @ Rice L 68-76 31%     5 - 12 3 - 9 -7.8 -6.5 -1.4
  Feb 12, 2021 77   North Texas L 49-65 16%     5 - 13 3 - 10 -10.2 -14.5 +2.6
  Feb 13, 2021 77   North Texas L 56-68 16%     5 - 14 3 - 11 -6.2 -6.3 -1.3
  Feb 19, 2021 295   @ Florida International W 85-72 57%     6 - 14 4 - 11 +6.3 +1.5 +3.7
  Feb 26, 2021 163   Florida Atlantic L 60-69 37%     6 - 15 4 - 12 -10.6 -12.7 +1.9
  Feb 27, 2021 163   Florida Atlantic L 66-73 37%     6 - 16 4 - 13 -8.6 -13.2 +5.1
  Mar 09, 2021 186   Rice L 52-61 37%     6 - 17 -10.7 -22.9 +12.2
Projected Record 6 - 17 4 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
8-9
7-10
6-11
5-12
4-13 100.0% 100.0
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%