IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Lamar
Southland
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.6	#236
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.0	#116
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.5	#272

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.2	#208

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.3%	19.1%	9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.5%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	14.4	15.3

.500 or above	50.7%	82.2%	50.1%
.500 or above in Conference	77.9%	93.0%	77.6%
Conference Champion	12.9%	27.0%	12.6%
Last Place in Conference	1.5%	0.4%	1.5%

First Four	3.1%	1.7%	3.1%
First Round	8.0%	18.3%	7.7%
Second Round	0.3%	1.0%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.5%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Houston (Away) - 2.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 5	13 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	18	@ Houston	L	59-81	2%
Nov 27, 2020	210	@ Tulane	L	70-74	34%
Nov 28, 2020	170	Lipscomb	L	71-75	35%
Dec 05, 2020	225	@ Air Force	L	73-77	38%
Dec 09, 2020	278	@ Louisiana Monroe	L	67-68	46%
Dec 15, 2020	229	Southern Miss	W	71-68	60%
Dec 19, 2020	109	@ Louisiana Tech	L	65-77	16%
Dec 22, 2020	153	@ Texas San Antonio	L	76-84	24%
Dec 29, 2020	319	SE Louisiana	W	81-72	78%
Jan 02, 2021	173	@ Abilene Christian	L	67-74	28%
Jan 06, 2021	234	@ Nicholls St.	L	72-75	40%
Jan 09, 2021	339	Houston Baptist	W	92-79	87%
Jan 13, 2021	246	@ Sam Houston St.	L	74-76	42%
Jan 16, 2021	303	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	72-65	71%
Jan 20, 2021	336	Incarnate Word	W	77-64	86%
Jan 23, 2021	136	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	70-79	22%
Jan 30, 2021	306	McNeese St.	W	79-72	71%
Feb 06, 2021	173	Abilene Christian	L	70-71	47%
Feb 10, 2021	234	Nicholls St.	W	75-72	61%
Feb 13, 2021	339	@ Houston Baptist	W	89-82	72%
Feb 17, 2021	246	Sam Houston St.	W	77-73	62%
Feb 20, 2021	303	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	69-68	53%
Feb 24, 2021	336	@ Incarnate Word	W	74-67	70%
Feb 27, 2021	136	Stephen F. Austin	L	73-76	40%
Mar 06, 2021	306	@ McNeese St.	W	76-75	53%
Projected Record						12 - 13	10 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	1.1	3.0	3.9	3.1	1.4		12.6	1st
2nd										0.0	0.3	2.1	4.9	4.5	1.8	0.3			13.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	2.4	5.2	3.8	0.9	0.0				12.6	3rd
4th									0.1	2.0	5.2	3.6	0.7	0.0					11.7	4th
5th								0.1	1.2	4.7	3.9	1.0	0.0						10.9	5th
6th							0.0	0.6	3.8	4.0	0.9	0.1							9.5	6th
7th							0.2	2.7	4.1	1.4	0.2								8.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.5	3.6	1.5	0.1									6.9	8th
9th					0.1	0.8	2.6	1.4	0.1										5.0	9th
10th				0.1	0.5	1.5	1.4	0.2	0.0										3.7	10th
11th			0.0	0.2	1.0	0.9	0.3												2.4	11th
12th		0.0	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.1	0.0												1.3	12th
13th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0													0.6	13th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	2.2	3.6	6.0	8.5	10.9	12.4	13.0	12.1	10.6	8.5	5.7	3.4	1.4			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	1.4		1.3	0.1
15-1	92.4%	3.1		2.4	0.7	0.0
14-2	68.1%	3.9		2.4	1.3	0.2	0.0
13-3	35.0%	3.0		1.2	1.2	0.6	0.0
12-4	10.2%	1.1		0.1	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
11-5	1.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1
10-6	0.0%	0.0							0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	12.6%	12.6		7.5	3.7	1.1	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	1.4%		43.7%	42.9%	0.7%	13.8											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.8		1.3%
15-1	3.4%		35.5%	35.5%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.2	2.2
14-2	5.7%		29.9%	29.9%		15.0														0.1	0.3	0.7	0.6	4.0
13-3	8.5%		26.1%	26.1%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.7	1.3	6.2
12-4	10.6%		14.7%	14.7%		15.7															0.1	0.3	1.2	9.0
11-5	12.1%		9.1%	9.1%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.9	11.0
10-6	13.0%		3.6%	3.6%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.4	12.5
9-7	12.4%		2.5%	2.5%		15.9																0.0	0.3	12.1
8-8	10.9%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	10.8
7-9	8.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.5
6-10	6.0%																							6.0
5-11	3.6%																							3.6
4-12	2.2%																							2.2
3-13	0.9%																							0.9
2-14	0.4%																							0.4
1-15	0.1%																							0.1
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		9.3%	9.3%	0.0%	15.3											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.7	5.0	90.7		0.0%