Preseason Rankings
Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#274
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.1#55
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#217
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#305
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 8.1% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 38.6% 54.0% 20.0%
.500 or above in Conference 43.4% 59.7% 23.6%
Conference Champion 9.4% 14.8% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 9.8% 3.6% 17.4%
First Four1.5% 1.7% 1.1%
First Round5.1% 7.3% 2.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Home) - 54.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 41 - 5
Quad 47 - 58 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Jan 02, 2021 235   American W 77-76 55%    
  Jan 03, 2021 235   @ American L 74-79 34%    
  Jan 09, 2021 213   Navy W 69-68 50%    
  Jan 10, 2021 213   @ Navy L 65-71 31%    
  Jan 16, 2021 220   @ Lafayette L 74-79 32%    
  Jan 17, 2021 220   Lafayette W 77-76 51%    
  Jan 23, 2021 235   @ American L 74-79 35%    
  Jan 24, 2021 235   American W 77-76 55%    
  Jan 30, 2021 213   @ Navy L 65-71 32%    
  Jan 31, 2021 213   Navy W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 06, 2021 223   Bucknell W 77-76 52%    
  Feb 07, 2021 223   @ Bucknell L 74-79 33%    
  Feb 13, 2021 287   @ Lehigh L 76-78 43%    
  Feb 14, 2021 287   Lehigh W 79-75 62%    
  Feb 20, 2021 235   @ American L 74-79 36%    
  Feb 21, 2021 235   American W 77-76 54%    
Projected Record 7 - 9 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.2 2.2 1.4 0.9 0.3 9.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.0 3.6 3.2 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 13.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.3 3.0 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 13.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.1 4.3 2.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.0 4.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 4.1 1.1 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.0 3.7 1.4 0.1 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.5 3.6 1.6 0.1 8.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.1 3.1 3.0 1.4 0.2 9.0 9th
10th 0.9 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.1 5.4 10th
Total 1.1 3.0 5.5 6.9 9.0 9.8 10.8 10.3 9.4 8.6 7.8 6.2 4.8 3.4 1.9 1.0 0.3 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-1 92.8% 0.9    0.8 0.1
14-2 73.9% 1.4    1.2 0.3 0.0
13-3 63.5% 2.2    1.5 0.6 0.0
12-4 46.4% 2.2    1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
11-5 26.2% 1.6    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 8.0% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
9-7 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.4% 9.4 5.9 2.8 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 29.1% 26.5% 2.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.5%
15-1 1.0% 40.5% 40.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6
14-2 1.9% 27.7% 27.7% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4
13-3 3.4% 20.1% 20.1% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 2.7
12-4 4.8% 18.5% 18.5% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 3.9
11-5 6.2% 14.3% 14.3% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 5.3
10-6 7.8% 9.9% 9.9% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 7.0
9-7 8.6% 7.4% 7.4% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 8.0
8-8 9.4% 3.7% 3.7% 15.8 0.1 0.3 9.1
7-9 10.3% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.0
6-10 10.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 10.6
5-11 9.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.8
4-12 9.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.9
3-13 6.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.9
2-14 5.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.5
1-15 3.0% 3.0
0-16 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.9 2.4 94.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 12.6 1.2 1.2 1.2 20.5 22.9 13.3 39.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 12.9% 13.0 12.9
Lose Out 1.0%