IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.4	#330
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.7	#217
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-18.5	#348

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+6.0	#27

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.3%	7.4%	2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.5	15.8

.500 or above	32.5%	46.1%	15.0%
.500 or above in Conference	2.6%	4.3%	0.3%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.4%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	19.2%	7.9%	33.7%

First Four	2.9%	3.6%	1.8%
First Round	3.4%	5.0%	1.4%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Home) - 56.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 3	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 4	4 - 5	4 - 7

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Jan 02, 2021	323	Morgan St.	W	61-59	56%
Jan 09, 2021	244	@ Norfolk St.	L	52-62	18%
Jan 16, 2021	326	@ Howard	L	62-66	38%
Jan 23, 2021	244	Norfolk St.	L	55-59	36%
Jan 25, 2021	326	Howard	W	65-63	58%
Feb 03, 2021	244	@ Norfolk St.	L	52-62	19%
Feb 15, 2021	323	@ Morgan St.	L	58-62	37%
Feb 17, 2021	244	Norfolk St.	L	55-59	36%
Feb 22, 2021	326	@ Howard	L	62-66	38%
Projected Record						3 - 6	3 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st								0.0	0.1	0.1									0.2	1st
2nd							0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3									1.0	2nd
3rd						0.0	0.4	1.3	1.0	0.1									2.9	3rd
4th					0.0	0.6	2.6	2.0	0.4	0.0									5.6	4th
5th				0.1	0.9	3.9	3.8	0.8	0.0										9.5	5th
6th		0.1	0.4	2.0	6.4	5.9	1.7	0.1											16.5	6th
7th	0.1	0.6	2.9	7.2	6.8	1.9	0.1												19.6	7th
8th	0.5	3.6	7.8	7.4	2.6	0.2													22.0	8th
9th	2.2	5.7	5.3	1.8	0.2	0.0													15.1	9th
10th	3.4	2.9	1.1	0.2															7.5	10th

Total	6.2	12.8	17.5	18.6	16.9	12.5	8.6	4.4	2.0	0.6										Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7	18.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
8-8	6.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7	0.6%		42.2%	42.2%		13.6													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.3
8-8	2.0%		31.2%	31.2%		14.8														0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	1.4
7-9	4.4%		19.7%	19.7%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	3.5
6-10	8.6%		13.7%	13.7%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.9	7.5
5-11	12.5%		8.2%	8.2%		15.9																0.1	1.0	11.5
4-12	16.9%		4.8%	4.8%		16.0																0.0	0.8	16.1
3-13	18.6%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.4	18.2
2-14	17.5%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.2	17.3
1-15	12.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
0-16	6.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.2

Total	100%		5.3%	5.3%	0.0%	15.6													0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	3.8	94.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.2%	100.0%	13.6												11.3	33.6	39.9	15.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.1%
Lose Out	3.9%