Projected NCAA Tournament Seeding
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22



View: Probabilistic Seeding


Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
1  Gonzaga Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Baylor At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  Michigan At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  Illinois Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Alabama Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Ohio St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Iowa At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Houston Auto 100.0% 100.0%
3  Arkansas At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Villanova At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Kansas At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Virginia At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Texas Auto 100.0% 100.0%
4  Oklahoma St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  BYU At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Purdue At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  West Virginia At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Creighton At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  USC At-Large 99.8% 99.8% 99.8%
5  Florida St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  Tennessee At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
6  LSU At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
6  St. Bonaventure Auto 100.0% 100.0%
6  Colorado At-Large 99.6% 99.6% 99.6%
7  Connecticut At-Large 99.7% 99.7% 99.7%
7  Loyola Chicago Auto 100.0% 100.0%
7  San Diego St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
7  Missouri At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
8  Clemson At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
8  Wisconsin At-Large 98.4% 98.4% 98.4%
8  Oregon At-Large 98.7% 98.7% 98.7%
8  North Carolina At-Large 98.9% 98.9% 98.9%
Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
9  Georgia Tech Auto 100.0% 100.0%
9  Florida At-Large 97.5% 97.5% 97.5%
9  Texas Tech At-Large 96.3% 96.3% 96.3%
9  Rutgers At-Large 97.3% 97.3% 97.3%
10  Virginia Commonwealth At-Large 93.7% 93.7% 93.7%
10  Oklahoma At-Large 88.7% 88.7% 88.7%
10  Wichita St. At-Large 74.0% 74.0% 74.0%
10  Virginia Tech At-Large 72.1% 72.1% 72.1%
11  Louisville At-Large 69.7% 69.7% 69.7%
11  Syracuse At-Large 71.0% 71.0% 71.0%
11  UCLA At-Large 57.0% 57.0% 57.0%
11  Michigan St. At-Large 66.9% 66.9% 66.9%
11  Colgate Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Drake At-Large 64.8% 64.8% 64.8%
12  Maryland At-Large 64.9% 64.9% 64.9%
12  Oregon St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Ohio Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Winthrop Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  UC Santa Barbara Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Georgetown Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  North Texas Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  UNC Greensboro Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Morehead St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Abilene Christian Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Cleveland St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Liberty Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Eastern Washington Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Grand Canyon Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Iona Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Drexel Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Mount St. Mary's Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Hartford Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Oral Roberts Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Norfolk St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Texas Southern Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Appalachian St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%



Bubble Teams - Last at Large Teams

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Wichita St. 74.0% 74.0% 74.0%
Virginia Tech 72.1% 72.1% 72.1%
Syracuse 71.0% 71.0% 71.0%
Louisville 69.7% 69.7% 69.7%
Michigan St. 66.9% 66.9% 66.9%
Maryland 64.9% 64.9% 64.9%
Drake 64.8% 64.8% 64.8%
UCLA 57.0% 57.0% 57.0%


Bubble Teams - First Teams Out

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Utah St. 47.4% 47.4% 47.4%
Boise St. 38.4% 38.4% 38.4%
Colorado St. 38.0% 38.0% 38.0%
SMU 26.0% 26.0% 26.0%
Saint Louis 20.3% 20.3% 20.3%
Mississippi 17.5% 17.5% 17.5%
Xavier 15.3% 15.3% 15.3%
Duke 13.9% 13.9% 13.9%
Seton Hall 13.7% 13.7% 13.7%
Memphis 13.3% 13.3% 13.3%
Richmond 12.4% 12.4% 12.4%
St. Mary's 9.8% 9.8% 9.8%
St. John's 9.0% 9.0% 9.0%
Western Kentucky 7.1% 7.1% 7.1%
Dayton 5.7% 5.7% 5.7%
Louisiana Tech 1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
Toledo 0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
Marshall 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
North Carolina St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Stanford 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Davidson 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Nevada 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Providence 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
UAB 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Minnesota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Belmont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%