Pre-tourney Rankings
Big East
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
12 Villanova 100.0%   2   26 - 7 16 - 4 26 - 7 16 - 4 +16.6      +10.1 9 +6.6 29 59.7 345 +17.7 8 +17.2 2
17 Connecticut 99.9%   5   23 - 9 13 - 6 23 - 9 13 - 6 +14.1      +8.0 20 +6.1 34 64.2 288 +13.7 23 +13.7 3
34 Seton Hall 95.4%   8   20 - 10 11 - 8 20 - 10 11 - 8 +11.2      +4.2 68 +7.0 24 68.8 155 +12.6 31 +11.6 5
38 Providence 100.0%   5   25 - 5 14 - 3 25 - 5 14 - 3 +10.9      +6.9 27 +4.0 71 64.7 267 +17.3 9 +18.5 1
40 Marquette 91.4%   10   19 - 12 11 - 8 19 - 12 11 - 8 +10.7      +5.1 49 +5.6 42 76.3 23 +11.1 43 +11.4 6
43 Creighton 97.4%   8   22 - 11 12 - 7 22 - 11 12 - 7 +10.5      +2.1 119 +8.4 12 67.7 193 +12.1 34 +13.1 4
45 St. John's 0.0%   17 - 15 8 - 11 17 - 15 8 - 11 +10.1      +5.6 43 +4.5 57 82.0 2 +7.1 80 +7.7 8
50 Xavier 42.5%   18 - 13 8 - 11 18 - 13 8 - 11 +9.8      +5.9 38 +3.9 72 70.5 105 +9.6 57 +8.0 7
90 DePaul 0.0%   15 - 16 6 - 14 15 - 16 6 - 14 +6.3      +3.4 86 +2.8 106 72.2 73 +6.1 95 +4.8 10
108 Butler 0.0%   12 - 19 6 - 14 12 - 19 6 - 14 +4.7      +0.8 154 +3.9 73 61.7 336 +5.8 98 +5.0 9
150 Georgetown 0.0%   6 - 25 0 - 19 6 - 25 0 - 19 +1.1      +1.8 125 -0.7 199 73.7 53 -3.9 227 -9.7 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Villanova 1.0 100.0
Connecticut 3.0 100.0
Seton Hall 5.0 100.0
Providence 2.0 100.0
Marquette 5.0 100.0
Creighton 4.0 100.0
St. John's 7.0 100.0
Xavier 7.0 100.0
DePaul 9.0 100.0
Butler 9.0 100.0
Georgetown 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Villanova 16 - 4 100.0
Connecticut 13 - 7 100.0
Seton Hall 11 - 9 100.0
Providence 14 - 6 100.0
Marquette 11 - 9 100.0
Creighton 12 - 8 100.0
St. John's 8 - 12 100.0
Xavier 8 - 12 100.0
DePaul 6 - 14 100.0
Butler 6 - 14 100.0
Georgetown 0 - 20 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Villanova 100.0% 100.0
Connecticut
Seton Hall
Providence
Marquette
Creighton
St. John's
Xavier
DePaul
Butler
Georgetown


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Villanova 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2   15.3 60.4 23.1 1.2 0.0
Connecticut 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 5   0.0 2.8 14.4 44.1 31.3 6.8 0.4 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Seton Hall 95.4% 0.0% 95.4% 8   0.0 0.3 3.2 17.0 37.5 28.1 8.4 0.8 4.6 95.4%
Providence 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.1 4.3 21.5 47.1 23.1 3.9 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Marquette 91.4% 0.0% 91.4% 10   0.1 1.5 12.8 30.4 35.2 11.4 0.1 8.6 91.4%
Creighton 97.4% 0.0% 97.4% 8   0.0 0.0 0.9 13.6 44.3 32.5 5.8 0.2 2.6 97.4%
St. John's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Xavier 42.5% 0.0% 42.5% 0.1 2.5 25.1 14.7 0.1 57.5 42.5%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Butler 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Villanova 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 93.7% 64.9% 36.8% 17.2% 7.8% 3.1%
Connecticut 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 69.6% 35.1% 13.6% 5.4% 2.0% 0.7%
Seton Hall 95.4% 0.0% 95.3% 48.2% 11.6% 4.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Providence 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 59.9% 23.4% 6.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Marquette 91.4% 1.7% 90.6% 42.3% 10.4% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Creighton 97.4% 0.0% 97.4% 46.1% 9.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
St. John's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Xavier 42.5% 32.0% 26.2% 10.0% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Butler 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 6.3 0.0 0.3 8.1 56.6 35.1
1st Round 100.0% 6.1 0.0 0.4 10.9 67.5 21.2
2nd Round 99.9% 3.7 0.1 1.9 11.4 28.8 34.7 18.9 3.9 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 89.0% 1.6 11.0 37.6 36.1 13.0 2.2 0.2 0.0
Elite Eight 56.1% 0.7 43.9 44.1 11.0 0.9 0.0
Final Four 26.4% 0.3 73.6 24.7 1.6 0.0
Final Game 11.0% 0.1 89.0 10.9 0.1
Champion 4.1% 0.0 95.9 4.1