Pre-tourney Rankings
Projected NCAA Tournament Seeding
2021-22



View: Probabilistic Seeding


Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
1  Gonzaga Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Arizona Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Kansas Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Baylor At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Tennessee Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Kentucky At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Villanova Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Auburn At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Texas Tech At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Purdue At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  UCLA At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Houston Auto 100.0% 100.0%
4  Duke At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Wisconsin At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Illinois At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Arkansas At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  St. Mary's At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
5  Providence At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Iowa Auto 100.0% 100.0%
5  Connecticut At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
6  Texas At-Large 99.6% 99.6% 99.6%
6  LSU At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
6  Boise St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
6  Alabama At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
7  Colorado St. At-Large 99.8% 99.8% 99.8%
7  San Diego St. At-Large 98.8% 98.8% 98.8%
7  Michigan St. At-Large 99.6% 99.6% 99.6%
7  USC At-Large 96.0% 96.0% 96.0%
8  Ohio St. At-Large 96.1% 96.1% 96.1%
8  Seton Hall At-Large 95.4% 95.4% 95.4%
8  Creighton At-Large 97.4% 97.4% 97.4%
8  North Carolina At-Large 90.9% 90.9% 90.9%
Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
9  TCU At-Large 96.8% 96.8% 96.8%
9  San Francisco At-Large 97.3% 97.3% 97.3%
9  Murray St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
9  Memphis At-Large 93.0% 93.0% 93.0%
10  Marquette At-Large 91.4% 91.4% 91.4%
10  Iowa St. At-Large 87.9% 87.9% 87.9%
10  Loyola Chicago Auto 100.0% 100.0%
10  Wyoming At-Large 77.6% 77.6% 77.6%
11  Texas A&M At-Large 80.5% 80.5% 80.5%
11  Michigan At-Large 84.0% 84.0% 84.0%
11  Miami (FL) At-Large 68.3% 68.3% 68.3%
11  Indiana At-Large 52.4% 52.4% 52.4%
11  Virginia Tech Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Davidson At-Large 50.0% 50.0% 50.0%
12  Oklahoma At-Large 46.2% 46.2% 46.2%
12  UAB Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  New Mexico St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Richmond Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Chattanooga Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  South Dakota St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Vermont Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Montana St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Akron Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Yale Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Delaware Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  St. Peter's Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Longwood Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Cal St. Fullerton Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Colgate Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Jacksonville St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Georgia St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Bryant Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Norfolk St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Wright St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Texas Southern Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  TX A&M Corpus Christi Auto 100.0% 100.0%



Bubble Teams - Last at Large Teams

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Michigan 84.0% 84.0% 84.0%
Texas A&M 80.5% 80.5% 80.5%
Wyoming 77.6% 77.6% 77.6%
Miami (FL) 68.3% 68.3% 68.3%
Indiana 52.4% 52.4% 52.4%
Davidson 50.0% 50.0% 50.0%
Oklahoma 46.2% 46.2% 46.2%


Bubble Teams - First Teams Out

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Xavier 42.5% 42.5% 42.5%
BYU 41.4% 41.4% 41.4%
SMU 39.1% 39.1% 39.1%
Virginia Commonwealth 34.7% 34.7% 34.7%
Rutgers 24.8% 24.8% 24.8%
North Texas 23.8% 23.8% 23.8%
Dayton 21.5% 21.5% 21.5%
Notre Dame 19.6% 19.6% 19.6%
Wake Forest 11.9% 11.9% 11.9%
Colorado 10.4% 10.4% 10.4%
Florida 9.5% 9.5% 9.5%
St. Bonaventure 6.3% 6.3% 6.3%
Saint Louis 6.1% 6.1% 6.1%
Oregon 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%
Virginia 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
South Carolina 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Belmont 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Santa Clara 0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
Missouri St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Washington St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Drake 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Iona 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Northern Iowa 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Toledo 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNLV 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%