Pre-tourney Rankings
Longwood
Big South
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#156
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#125
Pace65.5#253
Improvement+1.3#127

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#121
First Shot+1.6#128
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#146
Layup/Dunks-1.5#236
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#95
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#137
Freethrows+0.6#126
Improvement+1.3#111

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#212
First Shot-1.7#227
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#133
Layups/Dunks+1.5#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#241
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#257
Freethrows-1.0#264
Improvement+0.0#189
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round5.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 24 - 4
Quad 418 - 222 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 10   @ Iowa L 73-106 5%     0 - 1 -13.5 +0.2 -11.5
  Nov 19, 2021 328   American W 82-42 89%     1 - 1 +27.1 +13.1 +18.8
  Nov 20, 2021 238   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 82-55 74%     2 - 1 +20.8 +8.9 +13.8
  Nov 21, 2021 301   Western Carolina L 53-64 85%     2 - 2 -21.5 -23.5 +1.4
  Nov 26, 2021 181   @ Old Dominion L 61-62 47%     2 - 3 +0.5 +0.2 +0.1
  Nov 30, 2021 150   @ Georgetown L 83-91 40%     2 - 4 -4.7 +6.1 -10.4
  Dec 04, 2021 357   Delaware St. W 78-58 96%     3 - 4 -0.1 +0.5 +0.0
  Dec 11, 2021 306   Morgan St. W 93-55 86%     4 - 4 +27.0 +6.4 +16.7
  Dec 22, 2021 132   @ Abilene Christian L 58-74 35%     4 - 5 -11.5 -16.4 +6.3
  Jan 12, 2022 287   @ Radford W 83-75 OT 71%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +2.8 +2.4 -0.2
  Jan 15, 2022 195   Gardner-Webb W 66-60 67%     6 - 5 2 - 0 +2.2 -1.9 +4.3
  Jan 19, 2022 234   Campbell W 72-64 74%     7 - 5 3 - 0 +2.0 +6.3 -3.2
  Jan 22, 2022 279   @ Presbyterian W 71-70 69%     8 - 5 4 - 0 -3.4 -0.5 -2.9
  Jan 24, 2022 331   @ Hampton W 73-49 81%     9 - 5 5 - 0 +15.4 +6.3 +11.5
  Jan 26, 2022 298   N.C. A&T W 79-71 85%     10 - 5 6 - 0 -2.3 +9.1 -10.7
  Jan 29, 2022 174   Winthrop W 92-88 62%     11 - 5 7 - 0 +1.4 +13.1 -11.8
  Feb 02, 2022 235   @ UNC Asheville W 56-48 59%     12 - 5 8 - 0 +6.4 -10.0 +17.6
  Feb 05, 2022 350   @ Charleston Southern W 69-67 88%     13 - 5 9 - 0 -10.3 -4.3 -5.8
  Feb 10, 2022 284   South Carolina Upstate W 85-72 83%     14 - 5 10 - 0 +3.4 +8.5 -4.7
  Feb 12, 2022 298   @ N.C. A&T L 62-70 74%     14 - 6 10 - 1 -13.9 -9.7 -4.6
  Feb 15, 2022 252   High Point W 70-66 77%     15 - 6 11 - 1 -3.2 +1.6 -4.4
  Feb 17, 2022 252   @ High Point W 78-71 63%     16 - 6 12 - 1 +4.2 +5.8 -1.5
  Feb 19, 2022 331   Hampton W 76-72 89%     17 - 6 13 - 1 -9.1 -4.2 -5.1
  Feb 23, 2022 287   Radford W 71-66 83%     18 - 6 14 - 1 -4.7 +6.5 -10.4
  Feb 26, 2022 234   @ Campbell W 60-55 59%     19 - 6 15 - 1 +3.4 -6.0 +10.0
  Mar 04, 2022 298   N.C. A&T W 79-65 OT 80%     20 - 6 +5.9 +0.0 +5.4
  Mar 05, 2022 284   South Carolina Upstate W 79-70 78%     21 - 6 +1.6 +5.5 -3.3
  Mar 06, 2022 174   Winthrop W 79-58 54%     22 - 6 +20.6 +10.2 +12.0
Projected Record 22 - 6 15 - 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.6 2.2 39.4 56.8 1.7
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.6 2.2 39.4 56.8 1.7