Pre-tourney Rankings
Memphis
American Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.1#25
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#50
Pace75.3#30
Improvement+2.3#88

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#40
First Shot+4.9#48
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#111
Layup/Dunks+4.4#35
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#121
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#252
Freethrows+2.0#42
Improvement+1.2#121

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#30
First Shot+6.0#22
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#145
Layups/Dunks+5.7#11
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#270
Freethrows-0.2#209
Improvement+1.1#121
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 93.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 93.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% n/a n/a
First Round92.9% n/a n/a
Second Round49.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen13.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.5% n/a n/a
Final Four1.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 12 - 1
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 4
Quad 23 - 48 - 8
Quad 38 - 216 - 10
Quad 45 - 021 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 272   Tennessee Tech W 89-65 96%     1 - 0 +15.5 +10.0 +5.1
  Nov 13, 2021 307   NC Central W 90-51 97%     2 - 0 +27.8 -1.1 +23.2
  Nov 16, 2021 67   Saint Louis W 90-74 72%     3 - 0 +22.1 +5.1 +14.4
  Nov 19, 2021 115   Western Kentucky W 74-62 84%     4 - 0 +13.3 -7.9 +19.8
  Nov 24, 2021 22   Virginia Tech W 69-61 49%     5 - 0 +20.4 +0.7 +19.7
  Nov 26, 2021 55   Iowa St. L 59-78 60%     5 - 1 -9.6 -7.5 -1.3
  Dec 01, 2021 203   @ Georgia L 79-82 86%     5 - 2 -2.7 +4.6 -7.3
  Dec 04, 2021 99   @ Mississippi L 63-67 67%     5 - 3 +3.5 -8.6 +12.2
  Dec 10, 2021 56   Murray St. L 72-74 68%     5 - 4 +5.2 +6.2 -1.1
  Dec 14, 2021 23   Alabama W 92-78 58%     6 - 4 +24.1 +13.8 +9.1
  Dec 29, 2021 96   @ Tulane L 84-85 66%     6 - 5 0 - 1 +6.9 +12.1 -5.2
  Jan 01, 2022 92   @ Wichita St. W 82-64 65%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +26.2 +7.7 +16.9
  Jan 04, 2022 154   Tulsa W 67-64 89%     8 - 5 2 - 1 +1.6 -8.5 +10.0
  Jan 09, 2022 100   Cincinnati W 87-80 80%     9 - 5 3 - 1 +10.0 +17.6 -7.6
  Jan 12, 2022 107   @ Central Florida L 64-74 69%     9 - 6 3 - 2 -3.1 -7.6 +4.8
  Jan 15, 2022 168   @ East Carolina L 71-72 83%     9 - 7 3 - 3 +1.0 -1.7 +2.8
  Jan 20, 2022 49   SMU L 62-70 66%     9 - 8 3 - 4 -0.3 -7.5 +7.3
  Jan 23, 2022 154   @ Tulsa W 83-81 80%     10 - 8 4 - 4 +5.0 +13.4 -8.4
  Jan 27, 2022 168   East Carolina W 71-54 91%     11 - 8 5 - 4 +14.6 -5.5 +19.4
  Feb 05, 2022 107   Central Florida W 88-60 82%     12 - 8 6 - 4 +30.5 +12.7 +16.6
  Feb 09, 2022 96   Tulane W 80-69 79%     13 - 8 7 - 4 +14.5 +6.7 +7.7
  Feb 12, 2022 5   @ Houston W 69-59 22%     14 - 8 8 - 4 +30.3 +9.6 +21.3
  Feb 15, 2022 100   @ Cincinnati W 81-74 67%     15 - 8 9 - 4 +14.4 +10.6 +3.6
  Feb 20, 2022 49   @ SMU L 57-73 50%     15 - 9 9 - 5 -3.9 -8.9 +4.9
  Feb 24, 2022 111   Temple W 78-64 84%     16 - 9 10 - 5 +15.7 +12.6 +3.8
  Feb 27, 2022 92   Wichita St. W 81-57 79%     17 - 9 11 - 5 +27.8 +11.4 +16.2
  Mar 03, 2022 231   @ South Florida W 73-64 89%     18 - 9 12 - 5 +7.6 +7.9 +0.0
  Mar 06, 2022 5   Houston W 75-61 36%     19 - 9 13 - 5 +29.9 +13.0 +17.5
  Mar 11, 2022 107   Central Florida W 85-69 76%     20 - 9 +20.7 +16.2 +4.9
  Mar 12, 2022 49   SMU W 70-63 58%     21 - 9 +16.9 +0.3 +16.4
  Mar 13, 2022 5   Houston L 53-71 28%     21 - 10 +0.1 -5.9 +4.1
Projected Record 21 - 10 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 93.0% 93.0% 8.9 0.1 0.5 5.8 26.0 35.1 22.2 3.3 0.0 7.0 93.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 93.0% 0.0% 93.0% 8.9 0.1 0.5 5.8 26.0 35.1 22.2 3.3 0.0 7.0 93.0%