Pre-tourney Rankings
Big Sky
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
140 Montana St. 100.0%   13   25 - 7 16 - 4 25 - 7 16 - 4 +1.9      +0.9 151 +1.0 141 68.1 182 +4.3 107 +3.1 1
167 Southern Utah 0.0%   18 - 11 14 - 6 18 - 11 14 - 6 0.0      +2.5 110 -2.5 250 71.0 97 -0.3 179 +0.1 2
170 Weber St. 0.0%   19 - 12 13 - 7 19 - 12 13 - 7 -0.3      +0.3 169 -0.6 194 73.5 55 -0.3 180 -1.3 4
211 Northern Colorado 0.0%   18 - 14 13 - 7 18 - 14 13 - 7 -2.5      +3.1 94 -5.6 323 72.9 61 -0.6 184 -1.0 3
219 Eastern Washington 0.0%   16 - 15 11 - 9 16 - 15 11 - 9 -2.8      +0.5 165 -3.4 270 72.8 63 -2.9 216 -3.6 6
236 Montana 0.0%   15 - 14 11 - 9 15 - 14 11 - 9 -3.9      -1.4 211 -2.5 253 64.5 277 -4.0 230 -3.5 5
244 Portland St. 0.0%   12 - 17 10 - 10 12 - 17 10 - 10 -4.6      -4.2 285 -0.4 187 75.1 34 -6.2 266 -4.7 7
303 Sacramento St. 0.0%   9 - 18 6 - 14 9 - 18 6 - 14 -8.6      -4.5 292 -4.0 284 62.9 319 -8.1 289 -9.7 9
321 Idaho 0.0%   7 - 22 6 - 14 7 - 22 6 - 14 -10.1      -2.7 255 -7.4 347 74.1 45 -10.2 319 -9.5 8
327 Idaho St. 0.0%   5 - 23 5 - 15 5 - 23 5 - 15 -10.5      -5.1 307 -5.5 320 62.2 334 -12.3 337 -11.0 11
330 Northern Arizona 0.0%   7 - 23 5 - 15 7 - 23 5 - 15 -10.8      -4.7 295 -6.1 335 64.3 285 -10.7 326 -10.9 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Montana St. 1.0 100.0
Southern Utah 2.0 100.0
Weber St. 3.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 3.0 100.0
Eastern Washington 5.0 100.0
Montana 5.0 100.0
Portland St. 7.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 8.0 100.0
Idaho 8.0 100.0
Idaho St. 10.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Montana St. 16 - 4 100.0
Southern Utah 14 - 6 100.0
Weber St. 13 - 7 100.0
Northern Colorado 13 - 7 100.0
Eastern Washington 11 - 9 100.0
Montana 11 - 9 100.0
Portland St. 10 - 10 100.0
Sacramento St. 6 - 14 100.0
Idaho 6 - 14 100.0
Idaho St. 5 - 15 100.0
Northern Arizona 5 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Montana St. 100.0% 100.0
Southern Utah
Weber St.
Northern Colorado
Eastern Washington
Montana
Portland St.
Sacramento St.
Idaho
Idaho St.
Northern Arizona


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Montana St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   42.3 55.0 2.7
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Montana St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 8.9% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 8.9% 0.1 91.1 8.9
Sweet Sixteen 1.5% 0.0 98.5 1.5
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0