Pre-tourney Rankings
Patriot League
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
125 Colgate 100.0%   15   22 - 11 16 - 2 22 - 11 16 - 2 +2.7      +3.5 84 -0.8 203 68.3 169 0.0 173 +4.5 1
197 Navy 0.0%   20 - 11 12 - 6 20 - 11 12 - 6 -1.7      -5.5 319 +3.8 76 63.4 311 +0.3 166 -3.1 2
218 Boston University 0.0%   20 - 12 11 - 7 20 - 12 11 - 7 -2.8      +1.6 128 -4.3 293 63.8 303 -2.1 208 -4.5 3
271 Loyola Maryland 0.0%   13 - 16 8 - 10 13 - 16 8 - 10 -6.3      -4.7 298 -1.6 220 64.1 291 -7.4 284 -8.5 6
289 Army 0.0%   13 - 16 9 - 9 13 - 16 9 - 9 -7.7      -4.5 291 -3.2 266 71.6 79 -6.8 277 -6.8 5
290 Lehigh 0.0%   12 - 19 10 - 8 12 - 19 10 - 8 -7.7      -2.7 256 -5.0 310 70.4 107 -9.3 308 -5.4 4
310 Lafayette 0.0%   9 - 20 7 - 11 9 - 20 7 - 11 -9.6      -3.4 267 -6.2 336 63.8 305 -11.0 328 -9.5 8
328 American 0.0%   10 - 22 5 - 13 10 - 22 5 - 13 -10.7      -5.8 323 -4.9 308 64.1 293 -10.1 318 -12.5 10
336 Bucknell 0.0%   9 - 23 5 - 13 9 - 23 5 - 13 -11.4      -1.9 228 -9.5 354 69.7 122 -10.2 320 -12.4 9
344 Holy Cross 0.0%   7 - 22 7 - 11 7 - 22 7 - 11 -12.9      -7.7 344 -5.2 313 67.9 190 -12.5 339 -9.1 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Colgate 1.0 100.0
Navy 2.0 100.0
Boston University 3.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 6.0 100.0
Army 5.0 100.0
Lehigh 4.0 100.0
Lafayette 7.0 100.0
American 9.0 100.0
Bucknell 9.0 100.0
Holy Cross 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Colgate 16 - 2 100.0
Navy 12 - 6 100.0
Boston University 11 - 7 100.0
Loyola Maryland 8 - 10 100.0
Army 9 - 9 100.0
Lehigh 10 - 8 100.0
Lafayette 7 - 11 100.0
American 5 - 13 100.0
Bucknell 5 - 13 100.0
Holy Cross 7 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Colgate 100.0% 100.0
Navy
Boston University
Loyola Maryland
Army
Lehigh
Lafayette
American
Bucknell
Holy Cross


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Colgate 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.2 8.3 58.9 32.6
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Colgate 100.0% 4.3% 98.4% 6.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 98.4% 1.0 1.6 98.4
2nd Round 6.4% 0.1 93.6 6.4
Sweet Sixteen 1.3% 0.0 98.7 1.3
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0