Pre-tourney Rankings
Southeastern
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
3 Kentucky 100.0%   2   26 - 7 14 - 4 26 - 7 14 - 4 +18.7      +11.9 5 +6.8 25 69.0 151 +17.8 7 +19.0 2
7 Tennessee 100.0%   2   26 - 7 14 - 4 26 - 7 14 - 4 +17.6      +5.9 37 +11.6 2 68.3 172 +18.6 5 +18.5 3
11 Auburn 100.0%   2   27 - 5 15 - 3 27 - 5 15 - 3 +17.2      +7.4 23 +9.8 7 74.6 41 +18.1 6 +19.3 1
16 Arkansas 100.0%   4   25 - 8 13 - 5 25 - 8 13 - 5 +14.4      +5.8 39 +8.6 10 76.0 27 +14.7 20 +16.6 4
19 LSU 99.9%   6   22 - 11 9 - 9 22 - 11 9 - 9 +13.6      +4.0 73 +9.6 8 71.8 77 +12.8 29 +11.8 5
23 Alabama 100.0%   6   19 - 13 9 - 9 19 - 13 9 - 9 +12.3      +9.0 15 +3.3 90 78.3 11 +12.2 33 +11.0 7
42 Texas A&M 80.5%   11   22 - 12 9 - 9 22 - 12 9 - 9 +10.6      +4.6 59 +6.0 36 67.0 208 +11.8 36 +9.6 9
46 Mississippi St. 0.0%   18 - 15 8 - 10 18 - 15 8 - 10 +10.0      +4.8 55 +5.3 46 64.7 268 +8.0 67 +8.6 10
47 Florida 9.5%   19 - 13 9 - 9 19 - 13 9 - 9 +10.0      +6.3 31 +3.7 79 64.4 280 +9.5 58 +10.3 8
60 Vanderbilt 0.0%   17 - 16 7 - 11 17 - 16 7 - 11 +9.0      +3.0 95 +5.9 37 69.3 134 +7.5 75 +7.3 11
93 South Carolina 0.8%   17 - 13 9 - 9 17 - 13 9 - 9 +5.9      -0.4 187 +6.3 32 75.5 28 +9.3 59 +11.1 6
99 Mississippi 0.0%   13 - 19 4 - 14 13 - 19 4 - 14 +5.3      +2.4 111 +2.9 105 64.3 283 +3.4 115 +2.3 13
113 Missouri 0.0%   11 - 21 5 - 13 11 - 21 5 - 13 +3.6      +1.7 127 +1.9 122 65.4 254 +3.4 114 +4.9 12
203 Georgia 0.0%   6 - 26 1 - 17 6 - 26 1 - 17 -1.9      +2.7 102 -4.6 302 71.2 93 -5.1 251 -5.6 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Kentucky 2.0 100.0
Tennessee 2.0 100.0
Auburn 1.0 100.0
Arkansas 4.0 100.0
LSU 5.0 100.0
Alabama 5.0 100.0
Texas A&M 5.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 10.0 100.0
Florida 5.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 11.0 100.0
South Carolina 5.0 100.0
Mississippi 13.0 100.0
Missouri 12.0 100.0
Georgia 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kentucky 14 - 4 100.0
Tennessee 14 - 4 100.0
Auburn 15 - 3 100.0
Arkansas 13 - 5 100.0
LSU 9 - 9 100.0
Alabama 9 - 9 100.0
Texas A&M 9 - 9 100.0
Mississippi St. 8 - 10 100.0
Florida 9 - 9 100.0
Vanderbilt 7 - 11 100.0
South Carolina 9 - 9 100.0
Mississippi 4 - 14 100.0
Missouri 5 - 13 100.0
Georgia 1 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kentucky
Tennessee
Auburn 100.0% 100.0
Arkansas
LSU
Alabama
Texas A&M
Mississippi St.
Florida
Vanderbilt
South Carolina
Mississippi
Missouri
Georgia


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   37.4 54.5 7.9 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Tennessee 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2   39.7 55.4 4.9 0.0
Auburn 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   15.6 57.8 25.0 1.6 0.0 100.0%
Arkansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.0 0.3 14.8 42.5 36.1 6.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
LSU 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 6   0.2 2.6 23.3 43.6 25.7 4.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Alabama 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6   0.0 0.8 16.5 43.9 34.9 3.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Texas A&M 80.5% 0.0% 80.5% 11   0.0 0.2 2.5 10.0 28.6 36.8 2.4 19.5 80.5%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Florida 9.5% 0.0% 9.5% 0.0 2.0 7.1 0.4 90.5 9.5%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina 0.8% 0.0% 0.8% 0.0 0.6 0.1 99.2 0.8%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Missouri 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.4% 74.0% 48.7% 27.6% 14.6% 7.1%
Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.4% 69.5% 42.7% 21.9% 10.7% 4.6%
Auburn 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 94.5% 67.3% 39.5% 19.5% 9.2% 4.0%
Arkansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 77.3% 43.6% 16.7% 7.1% 2.7% 0.9%
LSU 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 63.9% 27.4% 11.2% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
Alabama 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 58.4% 21.8% 7.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Texas A&M 80.5% 14.3% 73.7% 32.4% 9.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida 9.5% 9.1% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 6.9 0.0 17.3 74.8 7.8 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 6.8 0.0 24.9 71.5 3.6 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 5.2 0.0 0.3 3.9 18.2 37.9 32.4 7.2 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 99.5% 3.1 0.5 5.6 20.9 36.2 27.5 8.4 0.9 0.0
Elite Eight 90.5% 1.7 9.5 33.2 38.1 16.7 2.4 0.1 0.0
Final Four 64.5% 0.8 35.5 47.0 16.0 1.5 0.0
Final Game 36.7% 0.4 63.3 34.0 2.7
Champion 17.2% 0.2 82.8 17.2