Pre-tourney Rankings
Southwestern Athletic
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
209 Texas Southern 100.0%   16   18 - 12 13 - 5 18 - 12 13 - 5 -2.4      -4.2 286 +1.8 124 69.2 140 -2.6 213 -4.5 2
239 Southern 0.0%   15 - 14 11 - 6 15 - 14 11 - 6 -4.2      -5.4 317 +1.2 134 74.2 44 -4.4 237 -5.9 3
283 Alcorn St. 0.0%   17 - 16 14 - 4 17 - 16 14 - 4 -7.4      -4.6 294 -2.8 258 68.9 153 -3.7 225 -2.6 1
292 Jackson St. 0.0%   11 - 19 9 - 9 11 - 19 9 - 9 -7.9      -7.4 339 -0.5 190 62.3 331 -8.6 296 -10.0 7
300 Prairie View 0.0%   8 - 19 8 - 8 8 - 19 8 - 8 -8.2      -4.9 300 -3.3 268 75.4 29 -11.3 330 -10.5 8
314 Florida A&M 0.0%   11 - 17 11 - 7 11 - 17 11 - 7 -9.8      -5.6 320 -4.3 292 64.7 269 -8.7 300 -6.9 4
318 Grambling St. 0.0%   10 - 20 8 - 9 10 - 20 8 - 9 -10.0      -7.0 334 -3.0 260 72.2 72 -9.8 315 -10.0 6
332 Alabama A&M 0.0%   12 - 18 10 - 8 12 - 18 10 - 8 -10.8      -11.7 355 +0.8 147 67.1 206 -9.8 314 -9.1 5
333 Alabama St. 0.0%   9 - 21 8 - 10 9 - 21 8 - 10 -10.9      -4.9 301 -6.0 329 73.3 57 -12.4 338 -11.8 9
343 Bethune-Cookman 0.0%   8 - 21 7 - 11 8 - 21 7 - 11 -12.5      -7.3 338 -5.2 314 65.9 244 -11.9 333 -12.1 10
354 Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0%   5 - 24 5 - 13 5 - 24 5 - 13 -16.6      -4.5 290 -12.1 358 68.9 154 -15.7 349 -15.3 11
356 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   2 - 26 2 - 16 2 - 26 2 - 16 -17.6      -8.0 348 -9.6 355 76.2 25 -22.2 355 -21.7 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Texas Southern 2.0 100.0
Southern 3.0 100.0
Alcorn St. 1.0 100.0
Jackson St. 6.0 100.0
Prairie View 7.0 100.0
Florida A&M 3.0 100.0
Grambling St. 7.0 100.0
Alabama A&M 5.0 100.0
Alabama St. 7.0 100.0
Bethune-Cookman 10.0 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 11.0 100.0
Mississippi Valley 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Texas Southern 13 - 5 100.0
Southern 11 - 7 100.0
Alcorn St. 14 - 4 100.0
Jackson St. 9 - 9 100.0
Prairie View 8 - 10 100.0
Florida A&M 11 - 7 100.0
Grambling St. 8 - 10 100.0
Alabama A&M 10 - 8 100.0
Alabama St. 8 - 10 100.0
Bethune-Cookman 7 - 11 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 5 - 13 100.0
Mississippi Valley 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Texas Southern
Southern
Alcorn St. 100.0% 100.0
Jackson St.
Prairie View
Florida A&M
Grambling St.
Alabama A&M
Alabama St.
Bethune-Cookman
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Mississippi Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Texas Southern 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.1 99.9
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Texas Southern 100.0% 99.5% 60.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 60.1% 0.6 39.9 60.1
2nd Round 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0