Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas Little Rock
Sun Belt
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#317
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#279
Pace67.3#199
Improvement+0.0#179

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#282
First Shot-2.2#248
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#312
Layup/Dunks-3.4#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#38
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#273
Freethrows+1.0#100
Improvement+1.3#109

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#330
First Shot-4.8#318
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#285
Layups/Dunks-2.5#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#339
Freethrows+0.0#186
Improvement-1.3#256
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 113 - 15
Quad 43 - 46 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 124   Southern Illinois W 69-66 16%     1 - 0 +3.7 -3.6 +7.2
  Nov 17, 2021 183   @ Loyola Marymount L 63-82 15%     1 - 1 -17.7 -18.0 +2.0
  Nov 21, 2021 145   Sam Houston St. L 59-77 15%     1 - 2 -16.7 -10.5 -6.4
  Nov 22, 2021 282   Northern Illinois W 67-60 40%     2 - 2 -0.3 -4.5 +4.5
  Nov 26, 2021 154   @ Tulsa L 63-77 12%     2 - 3 -11.0 -8.3 -2.8
  Dec 01, 2021 44   @ Colorado St. L 55-86 3%     2 - 4 -18.3 -14.0 -4.1
  Dec 04, 2021 16   @ Arkansas L 78-93 2%     2 - 5 +1.6 +12.1 -9.9
  Dec 08, 2021 75   Missouri St. L 55-81 8%     2 - 6 -20.3 -14.0 -8.1
  Dec 21, 2021 153   Jacksonville St. L 67-87 21%     2 - 7 -21.4 -1.4 -21.7
  Dec 30, 2021 258   Georgia Southern W 78-66 41%     3 - 7 1 - 0 +4.4 -1.1 +4.7
  Jan 06, 2022 270   @ Louisiana Monroe L 72-80 28%     3 - 8 1 - 1 -11.9 -3.6 -8.4
  Jan 20, 2022 144   Texas St. L 59-69 19%     3 - 9 1 - 2 -10.9 -8.6 -3.3
  Jan 22, 2022 227   Texas Arlington W 98-96 3OT 33%     4 - 9 2 - 2 -3.5 +6.1 -10.0
  Jan 27, 2022 163   @ Coastal Carolina L 49-65 13%     4 - 10 2 - 3 -13.6 -16.2 +0.5
  Jan 29, 2022 159   @ Appalachian St. L 57-72 12%     4 - 11 2 - 4 -12.4 -4.2 -10.7
  Feb 03, 2022 188   Louisiana L 51-75 26%     4 - 12 2 - 5 -27.4 -24.2 -2.8
  Feb 05, 2022 270   Louisiana Monroe L 72-75 OT 44%     4 - 13 2 - 6 -11.3 -10.3 -0.9
  Feb 10, 2022 152   @ South Alabama L 46-77 11%     4 - 14 2 - 7 -27.9 -18.8 -13.2
  Feb 12, 2022 193   @ Troy W 66-62 16%     5 - 14 3 - 7 +4.8 +5.2 +0.1
  Feb 17, 2022 227   @ Texas Arlington L 70-85 20%     5 - 15 3 - 8 -16.1 +3.7 -20.9
  Feb 19, 2022 144   @ Texas St. L 50-68 11%     5 - 16 3 - 9 -14.4 -14.6 -2.3
  Feb 23, 2022 159   Appalachian St. L 66-78 22%     5 - 17 3 - 10 -13.9 -7.6 -6.0
  Feb 25, 2022 163   Coastal Carolina L 55-68 23%     5 - 18 3 - 11 -15.1 -17.2 +1.7
  Mar 03, 2022 152   South Alabama W 75-71 15%     6 - 18 +4.9 +14.1 -8.6
  Mar 05, 2022 193   Troy L 62-69 21%     6 - 19 -8.5 +0.8 -10.3
Projected Record 6 - 19 3 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%