Pre-tourney Rankings
Belmont
Ohio Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#91
Expected Predictive Rating+7.7#72
Pace72.4#69
Improvement-5.4#337

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#90
First Shot+4.8#52
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#292
Layup/Dunks+5.9#15
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#345
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#62
Freethrows-1.0#262
Improvement-6.0#358

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#101
First Shot+1.6#122
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#68
Layups/Dunks+1.0#146
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#261
Freethrows+1.6#71
Improvement+0.6#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.8% n/a n/a
First Round0.3% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 23 - 34 - 6
Quad 34 - 18 - 7
Quad 416 - 024 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 123   @ Ohio L 80-92 54%     0 - 1 -6.8 +5.0 -11.1
  Nov 13, 2021 302   Evansville W 81-43 93%     1 - 1 +27.3 +7.7 +21.0
  Nov 15, 2021 88   Furman W 95-89 OT 58%     2 - 1 +10.1 +6.8 +2.4
  Nov 19, 2021 230   @ Kennesaw St. W 97-78 76%     3 - 1 +17.7 +16.4 +0.4
  Nov 22, 2021 19   @ LSU L 53-83 18%     3 - 2 -14.2 -11.4 -1.4
  Nov 25, 2021 87   Drake W 74-69 49%     4 - 2 +11.4 +2.0 +9.3
  Nov 26, 2021 104   Iona W 72-65 55%     5 - 2 +12.0 +0.1 +11.8
  Nov 28, 2021 63   Dayton L 61-63 40%     5 - 3 +6.8 +0.8 +5.7
  Dec 02, 2021 268   Lipscomb W 94-65 91%     6 - 3 +20.7 +12.1 +7.7
  Dec 05, 2021 192   @ Samford W 85-73 70%     7 - 3 +12.8 +6.5 +5.7
  Dec 07, 2021 67   @ Saint Louis W 64-59 34%     8 - 3 +15.5 -1.0 +16.8
  Dec 15, 2021 94   Chattanooga W 76-68 60%     9 - 3 +11.7 +6.5 +5.4
  Jan 06, 2022 245   Southeast Missouri St. W 102-62 89%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +33.1 +22.4 +10.4
  Jan 08, 2022 313   @ Tennessee Martin W 81-55 89%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +18.5 +4.5 +13.9
  Jan 13, 2022 272   Tennessee Tech W 92-77 91%     12 - 3 3 - 0 +6.5 +7.1 -1.8
  Jan 15, 2022 56   Murray St. L 60-82 46%     12 - 4 3 - 1 -14.8 -5.4 -10.9
  Jan 17, 2022 308   @ SIU Edwardsville W 80-64 88%     13 - 4 4 - 1 +9.2 +1.4 +6.9
  Jan 20, 2022 134   @ Morehead St. L 74-83 57%     13 - 5 4 - 2 -4.7 +8.7 -13.9
  Jan 24, 2022 355   @ Eastern Illinois W 90-56 96%     14 - 5 5 - 2 +19.0 +15.8 +3.7
  Jan 27, 2022 296   @ Austin Peay W 75-67 87%     15 - 5 6 - 2 +2.2 +2.9 -0.5
  Jan 29, 2022 313   Tennessee Martin W 87-58 94%     16 - 5 7 - 2 +17.1 +2.3 +12.7
  Feb 03, 2022 278   @ Tennessee St. W 88-61 84%     17 - 5 8 - 2 +22.6 +13.1 +9.4
  Feb 05, 2022 272   @ Tennessee Tech W 100-92 OT 83%     18 - 5 9 - 2 +3.9 +15.1 -12.0
  Feb 07, 2022 296   Austin Peay W 72-58 93%     19 - 5 10 - 2 +3.8 +9.4 -3.1
  Feb 10, 2022 134   Morehead St. W 48-47 73%     20 - 5 11 - 2 +0.9 -18.2 +19.3
  Feb 12, 2022 245   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 81-72 79%     21 - 5 12 - 2 +6.5 -1.1 +7.1
  Feb 17, 2022 355   Eastern Illinois W 81-57 98%     22 - 5 13 - 2 +4.6 +5.4 -0.2
  Feb 19, 2022 308   SIU Edwardsville W 73-62 94%     23 - 5 14 - 2 -0.2 -11.3 +9.9
  Feb 24, 2022 56   @ Murray St. L 43-76 30%     23 - 6 14 - 3 -21.4 -20.2 -4.3
  Feb 26, 2022 278   Tennessee St. W 87-67 91%     24 - 6 15 - 3 +11.2 +5.5 +4.6
  Mar 04, 2022 134   Morehead St. L 51-53 65%     24 - 7 +0.1 -14.8 +14.7
Projected Record 24 - 7 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.8% 0.8% 12.2 0.0 0.6 0.1 99.2 0.8%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.8% 0.0% 0.8% 12.2 0.0 0.6 0.1 99.2 0.8%