Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Bakersfield
Big West
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#263
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#306
Pace62.3#330
Improvement-1.0#219

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#258
First Shot-6.3#332
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#9
Layup/Dunks-5.9#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+8.4#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.3#354
Freethrows-0.6#229
Improvement+3.3#34

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#259
First Shot-3.1#270
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#154
Layups/Dunks+3.3#53
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#183
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#296
Freethrows-3.9#351
Improvement-4.4#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 30 - 91 - 13
Quad 45 - 66 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 8   @ UCLA L 58-95 2%     0 - 1 -17.4 -10.7 -3.5
  Nov 18, 2021 330   @ Northern Arizona L 64-74 60%     0 - 2 -18.6 -12.9 -5.9
  Nov 26, 2021 37   @ Boise St. W 46-39 5%     1 - 2 +20.1 -12.2 +33.3
  Dec 11, 2021 321   Idaho W 59-58 73%     2 - 2 -11.3 -11.5 +0.4
  Dec 15, 2021 132   @ Abilene Christian L 59-69 17%     2 - 3 -5.5 -14.9 +10.2
  Dec 18, 2021 57   @ Colorado L 46-60 6%     2 - 4 -2.4 -14.4 +10.3
  Dec 21, 2021 206   Dartmouth W 61-57 44%     3 - 4 -0.4 -4.4 +4.5
  Dec 30, 2021 151   Cal St. Fullerton L 67-73 33%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -7.2 -6.7 -0.6
  Jan 15, 2022 173   UC Riverside L 64-65 37%     3 - 6 0 - 2 -3.5 -1.6 -2.0
  Jan 18, 2022 297   Cal Poly W 73-60 67%     4 - 6 1 - 2 +2.7 +4.3 -0.4
  Jan 20, 2022 164   Hawaii L 59-63 36%     4 - 7 1 - 3 -6.1 -3.1 -3.7
  Jan 27, 2022 139   @ UC Irvine L 52-57 17%     4 - 8 1 - 4 -0.8 -5.0 +3.2
  Jan 29, 2022 256   @ UC San Diego L 75-83 39%     4 - 9 1 - 5 -11.0 +7.1 -19.0
  Feb 03, 2022 148   @ Long Beach St. L 65-74 19%     4 - 10 1 - 6 -5.6 -4.5 -1.4
  Feb 05, 2022 151   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 61-75 20%     4 - 11 1 - 7 -10.8 -10.2 -0.7
  Feb 10, 2022 130   UC Santa Barbara L 62-74 28%     4 - 12 1 - 8 -11.8 -6.6 -6.1
  Feb 12, 2022 322   Cal St. Northridge L 65-71 73%     4 - 13 1 - 9 -18.3 -8.4 -10.4
  Feb 17, 2022 173   @ UC Riverside L 69-79 23%     4 - 14 1 - 10 -8.1 +0.7 -9.2
  Feb 19, 2022 213   @ UC Davis L 79-81 30%     4 - 15 1 - 11 -2.3 +16.4 -18.9
  Feb 22, 2022 297   @ Cal Poly W 61-60 50%     5 - 15 2 - 11 -4.9 -3.6 -1.1
  Feb 26, 2022 164   @ Hawaii L 50-62 22%     5 - 16 2 - 12 -9.7 -11.2 -0.8
  Mar 03, 2022 256   UC San Diego L 70-72 56%     5 - 17 2 - 13 -9.4 +0.5 -10.2
  Mar 05, 2022 139   UC Irvine L 61-66 29%     5 - 18 2 - 14 -5.3 -0.9 -5.0
  Mar 08, 2022 322   Cal St. Northridge W 58-45 66%     6 - 18 +2.9 -7.4 +13.1
  Mar 10, 2022 148   Long Beach St. L 61-72 25%     6 - 19 -9.8 -12.1 +2.4
Projected Record 6 - 19 2 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18 100.0% 100.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%