Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Fullerton
Big West
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#151
Expected Predictive Rating+2.5#132
Pace66.0#238
Improvement+1.4#118

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#150
First Shot+2.6#94
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#302
Layup/Dunks+1.4#110
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#159
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#297
Freethrows+4.8#1
Improvement-0.8#219

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#174
First Shot-0.3#190
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#141
Layups/Dunks+1.3#131
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#180
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#311
Freethrows+1.4#83
Improvement+2.2#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.2% n/a n/a
First Round99.9% n/a n/a
Second Round5.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 37 - 38 - 6
Quad 411 - 419 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 71   @ Santa Clara L 77-84 19%     0 - 1 +3.4 +10.5 -7.5
  Nov 11, 2021 275   @ San Jose St. L 76-78 69%     0 - 2 -6.3 +4.3 -10.7
  Nov 16, 2021 212   George Washington W 74-59 71%     1 - 2 +10.3 +3.3 +7.8
  Nov 19, 2021 208   @ San Diego W 57-55 54%     2 - 2 +1.9 -8.0 +10.1
  Nov 23, 2021 305   UT Rio Grande Valley L 67-72 82%     2 - 3 -13.7 -14.9 +1.5
  Nov 24, 2021 330   @ Northern Arizona W 73-56 82%     3 - 3 +8.4 +4.1 +6.4
  Nov 29, 2021 74   Wyoming L 66-79 32%     3 - 4 -7.2 +1.9 -10.3
  Dec 04, 2021 277   Pacific W 66-57 82%     4 - 4 +0.2 -7.4 +7.9
  Dec 08, 2021 26   @ San Diego St. L 56-66 11%     4 - 5 +4.3 -0.5 +4.1
  Dec 30, 2021 263   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 73-67 67%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +2.3 -1.4 +3.7
  Jan 13, 2022 322   Cal St. Northridge W 79-64 89%     6 - 5 2 - 0 +2.7 +0.0 +2.7
  Jan 15, 2022 130   UC Santa Barbara W 79-73 53%     7 - 5 3 - 0 +6.2 +4.1 +2.0
  Jan 20, 2022 139   @ UC Irvine W 65-63 38%     8 - 5 4 - 0 +6.2 +9.2 -2.6
  Jan 22, 2022 256   UC San Diego W 83-80 79%     9 - 5 5 - 0 -4.4 +6.8 -11.2
  Jan 27, 2022 213   @ UC Davis W 74-58 55%     10 - 5 6 - 0 +15.7 +4.6 +11.4
  Jan 29, 2022 173   @ UC Riverside L 54-67 46%     10 - 6 6 - 1 -11.1 -16.6 +5.4
  Feb 03, 2022 297   Cal Poly W 61-50 85%     11 - 6 7 - 1 +0.7 -10.6 +12.0
  Feb 05, 2022 263   Cal St. Bakersfield W 75-61 80%     12 - 6 8 - 1 +5.9 -1.2 +7.2
  Feb 08, 2022 148   @ Long Beach St. L 61-71 41%     12 - 7 8 - 2 -6.6 -9.3 +2.6
  Feb 12, 2022 164   @ Hawaii L 55-72 45%     12 - 8 8 - 3 -14.7 -14.4 -0.8
  Feb 17, 2022 130   @ UC Santa Barbara W 67-58 36%     13 - 8 9 - 3 +13.6 +7.4 +7.8
  Feb 19, 2022 322   @ Cal St. Northridge W 81-73 80%     14 - 8 10 - 3 +0.1 +12.9 -11.9
  Feb 24, 2022 139   UC Irvine W 66-64 55%     15 - 8 11 - 3 +1.7 +2.4 -0.5
  Feb 26, 2022 256   @ UC San Diego L 76-81 65%     15 - 9 11 - 4 -8.0 +0.2 -8.3
  Mar 03, 2022 173   UC Riverside L 72-75 63%     15 - 10 11 - 5 -5.5 +6.3 -12.1
  Mar 05, 2022 213   UC Davis W 62-59 71%     16 - 10 12 - 5 -1.8 -11.1 +9.3
  Mar 10, 2022 213   UC Davis W 73-55 63%     17 - 10 +15.5 +6.3 +10.5
  Mar 11, 2022 164   Hawaii W 58-46 53%     18 - 10 +12.1 -9.2 +22.3
  Mar 12, 2022 148   Long Beach St. W 72-71 49%     19 - 10 +2.2 +9.7 -7.4
Projected Record 19 - 10 12 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.8 0.8 22.7 68.8 7.7
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.8 22.7 68.8 7.7