Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.1#322
Expected Predictive Rating-8.9#302
Pace64.0#296
Improvement-3.0#297

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#299
First Shot-6.2#330
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#75
Layup/Dunks-4.5#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#347
Freethrows-0.1#183
Improvement+0.6#151

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#315
First Shot-3.2#272
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#323
Layups/Dunks-1.5#238
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#54
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#274
Freethrows-1.3#278
Improvement-3.6#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 31 - 111 - 15
Quad 45 - 76 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 41   @ USC L 49-89 3%     0 - 1 -27.2 -15.8 -12.7
  Nov 13, 2021 48   @ Notre Dame L 52-68 3%     0 - 2 -3.9 -9.0 +2.9
  Nov 19, 2021 219   Eastern Washington L 64-67 OT 31%     0 - 3 -8.1 -14.3 +6.3
  Nov 20, 2021 280   Dixie St. W 79-73 46%     1 - 3 -3.1 +0.5 -3.8
  Nov 28, 2021 208   @ San Diego W 56-52 17%     2 - 3 +3.9 -5.2 +9.7
  Dec 04, 2021 84   @ Fresno St. L 43-61 5%     2 - 4 -9.0 -14.9 +2.7
  Dec 07, 2021 37   Boise St. L 48-74 5%     2 - 5 -17.3 -14.1 -5.8
  Dec 10, 2021 149   @ North Dakota St. L 54-68 11%     2 - 6 -10.7 -13.8 +2.3
  Dec 18, 2021 244   Portland St. W 69-66 38%     3 - 6 -3.9 -4.7 +0.8
  Jan 01, 2022 256   @ UC San Diego L 64-72 25%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -11.0 -12.3 +1.3
  Jan 08, 2022 297   Cal Poly W 68-55 51%     4 - 7 1 - 1 +2.7 +3.5 +1.3
  Jan 13, 2022 151   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 64-79 11%     4 - 8 1 - 2 -11.8 -7.5 -4.3
  Jan 15, 2022 148   @ Long Beach St. L 55-71 11%     4 - 9 1 - 3 -12.6 -19.2 +7.5
  Jan 20, 2022 213   UC Davis L 47-64 30%     4 - 10 1 - 4 -21.8 -19.5 -4.7
  Jan 22, 2022 173   UC Riverside L 67-77 23%     4 - 11 1 - 5 -12.5 +1.3 -14.9
  Jan 25, 2022 130   UC Santa Barbara L 45-72 17%     4 - 12 1 - 6 -26.8 -22.0 -8.6
  Jan 27, 2022 164   @ Hawaii L 65-72 13%     4 - 13 1 - 7 -4.7 +2.2 -7.8
  Feb 03, 2022 256   UC San Diego L 77-83 40%     4 - 14 1 - 8 -13.4 -6.1 -7.0
  Feb 05, 2022 139   UC Irvine L 70-75 18%     4 - 15 1 - 9 -5.3 +1.6 -7.0
  Feb 10, 2022 297   @ Cal Poly W 83-78 2OT 34%     5 - 15 2 - 9 -0.9 +2.8 -4.1
  Feb 12, 2022 263   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 71-65 27%     6 - 15 3 - 9 +2.3 +2.7 +0.2
  Feb 17, 2022 148   Long Beach St. L 59-72 20%     6 - 16 3 - 10 -14.1 -18.8 +5.8
  Feb 19, 2022 151   Cal St. Fullerton L 73-81 20%     6 - 17 3 - 11 -9.2 +7.1 -17.2
  Feb 24, 2022 173   @ UC Riverside L 57-79 13%     6 - 18 3 - 12 -20.1 -6.8 -16.0
  Feb 26, 2022 213   @ UC Davis L 49-68 18%     6 - 19 3 - 13 -19.3 -16.8 -4.6
  Mar 01, 2022 130   @ UC Santa Barbara L 61-70 9%     6 - 20 3 - 14 -4.4 -1.6 -4.0
  Mar 05, 2022 164   Hawaii L 62-84 22%     6 - 21 3 - 15 -24.1 -6.8 -18.8
  Mar 08, 2022 263   Cal St. Bakersfield L 45-58 34%     6 - 22 -18.9 -20.9 -0.8
Projected Record 6 - 22 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17 100.0% 100.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%